Results 61 to 70 of about 13,156 (189)
Probabilistic projections of temperature and rainfall for climate risk assessment in Vietnam
Journal of Water and Climate ChangeIn this study, we developed a probabilistic model using the surrogate mixed model ensemble (SMME) method to project temperature and rainfall in Vietnam under the Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios.
Quan Tran-Anh, Thanh Ngo-Duc
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Future Redistribution of North Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Risk in Two Contrasting CMIP6 Scenarios
Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 53, Issue 18, 28 September 2026.Abstract We analyze North Atlantic Tropical Cyclone (TC) activity using the Columbia HAZard model to downscale 12 models from CMIP6 under the SSP1‐2.6 and SSP5‐8.5 scenarios—representing low and high radiative forcing, respectively. Despite greater warming under SSP5‐8.5, basin‐wide North Atlantic TC frequency is not consistently higher than under SSP1‐
Ratnaksha Lele +7 more
wiley +1 more source
Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 53, Issue 18, 28 September 2026.Abstract We use day‐to‐day falls in daily‐maximum surface air temperature to assess future changes in the frequency of strong cold fronts in a set of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project climate models under the SSP5‐8.5 scenario. We find a general decrease in cold front frequency across the Northern Hemisphere, particularly over the oceans, and in ...
Paola B. Corrales +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Earth's Future, 2021 The warming climate can considerably affect socioeconomic activities and environmental health conditions in Canada. Climate models play a key role in evaluating the impact of climate change and developing adaption and mitigation strategies corresponding ...
Sarah‐Claude Bourdeau‐Goulet +1 more
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Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 53, Issue 18, 28 September 2026.Abstract Climate models with identical anthropogenic forcings simulate different historical warming, mainly because aerosol forcing is poorly constrained. The role of uncertainty in regional aerosol forcing, however, has not been systematically studied.
Harun A. Rashid
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What Is the Observed Sensitivity of Arctic Sea Ice?
Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 53, Issue 18, 28 September 2026.Abstract The observed sensitivity of the Arctic summer sea‐ice area (SIA) to changes in the external forcing is a key quantity for understanding and projecting sea‐ice loss. Here, we estimate this sensitivity and provide a robust analysis of its uncertainty considering the impacts of internal variability, the memory of the system and observational ...
Quentin Rauschenbach +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 53, Issue 17, 16 September 2026.Abstract As a gateway between the Arctic and subtropics, the subpolar North Atlantic plays a key role in large‐scale climate variability. In recent decades, the region has experienced pronounced freshening. While much attention has been paid to the expected long‐term weakening of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation, the impact of freshwater
Holly C. Ayres, Marilena Oltmanns
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Role of Shortwave Feedback in Non‐Linear Response to CO2 Forcing in GFDL CM4.0
Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 53, Issue 17, 16 September 2026.Abstract Effective climate sensitivity (EffCS) is a key metric for quantifying climate change, yet its uncertainty remains large, primarily due to intermodel differences in cloud feedback. Here, we assess EffCS and climate feedback to an abrupt doubling (2xCO2) and quadrupling (4xCO2) of CO2 over 450 years in GFDL CM4.0. Both runs have comparable EffCS
Sisam Shrestha +3 more
wiley +1 more source
The Impact of ENSO on Euro‐Atlantic Circulation a Year Later via Long‐Lived Tropical SST Anomalies
Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 53, Issue 17, 16 September 2026.Abstract The second winter response to ENSO in the Euro‐Atlantic sector is a surprising recent discovery, however, the underlying mechanisms remain uncertain and are challenging to determine from observations. Here we revisit the second winter response to ENSO using multiple large ensemble climate model simulations to examine its robustness and ...
Christopher H. O’Reilly +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 53, Issue 17, 16 September 2026.Abstract This study investigates the impact of sea surface temperature (SST) biases on the latitude of the climatological North Pacific westerly jet using multi‐model analyses and atmospheric general circulation model (AGCM) sensitivity experiments. A comparison of atmospheric‐only and coupled simulations from 35 models participating in the Coupled ...
Yusuke Ushijima +3 more
wiley +1 more source