Results 91 to 100 of about 7,051 (218)

Future Redistribution of North Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Risk in Two Contrasting CMIP6 Scenarios

Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 53, Issue 18, 28 September 2026.
Abstract We analyze North Atlantic Tropical Cyclone (TC) activity using the Columbia HAZard model to downscale 12 models from CMIP6 under the SSP1‐2.6 and SSP5‐8.5 scenarios—representing low and high radiative forcing, respectively. Despite greater warming under SSP5‐8.5, basin‐wide North Atlantic TC frequency is not consistently higher than under SSP1‐
Ratnaksha Lele, Adam H. Sobel, Chia‐Ying Lee, Suzana J. Camargo, Michael K. Tippett, Patrick Kelly, Ted Amdur, Radovan Drinka   +7 more
wiley   +1 more source

Characteristics of Spatial and Temporal Variations of Global Terrestrial Droughts and Analysis of their Future Trends

Gaoyuan qixiang
Drought represents a significant contributing factor to global climate-related disasters.It not only endangers the stability of global ecosystems and biodiversity but also has far-reaching implications for socio-economic development.As global climate ...
Xinyao XU, Xufeng WANG, Songlin ZHANG, Yanpeng YANG, Zongxing LI   +4 more
doaj   +1 more source

New Constraint on Future Ocean Heat Uptake Revealed by Considering Model Spread of Radiative Forcing

Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 53, Issue 18, 28 September 2026.
Abstract Radiative forcing (F) $(F)$ is the fundamental driver of ocean heat uptake (N) $(N)$; however, its contribution to intermodel spread in N $N$ has not been quantified. We address this gap by leveraging a new set of CMIP6 experiments that diagnoses time‐varying F $F$ for the first time in 11 models.
Quran Wu, Jonathan Gregory
wiley   +1 more source

Climate-Driven Shifts in Wind Energy Potential Across Central Asia Based on a Multi-Model Ensemble and Tier-Based Assessment. [PDF]

Glob Chall
This study presents a climate‐informed framework for assessing future wind energy potential across Central Asia using bias‐corrected Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) 100 m wind‐speed projections. Integrating Weibull characterization, seasonal variability, exceedance probabilities, and scenario sensitivity, the framework identifies ...
Broomandi P, Bagheri M, Irawan S, Fathian A, Fard AM, Ledari DG, Leuchner M, Kim JR.   +7 more
europepmc   +2 more sources

The 2025–2026 Iberian Atmospheric Rivers Exhibited Moisture Transport Resembling the Early SSP5‐8.5 Climate Response

Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 53, Issue 18, 28 September 2026.
Abstract Atmospheric rivers (ARs) drive winter hydroclimate extremes over the Iberian Peninsula (IP). This study evaluates whether exceptional landfalling ARs (LARs) between October 2025 and February 2026 displayed characteristics expected under early high‐emission forcing.
J. C. Fernández‐Alvarez, G. Alvarez‐Socorro, R. Nieto, L. Gimeno   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Concurrent Eurasian Heatwaves Will Intensify Beyond the Mean Warming

Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 53, Issue 18, 28 September 2026.
Abstract Concurrent heatwaves over Europe and North China are the most frequent compound heat extremes across the Northern Hemisphere. They are systematically organized by a recurrent teleconnection along the polar front jet over Eurasia. Using observations and large‐ensemble simulations, we show that even after removing the forced warming trend ...
Peiqiang Xu, Leiye Yuan, Lin Wang, Jakob Zscheischler   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Using Rapid Temperature Falls to Estimate Future Strong Cold Front Frequency in CMIP6 Climate Projections

Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 53, Issue 18, 28 September 2026.
Abstract We use day‐to‐day falls in daily‐maximum surface air temperature to assess future changes in the frequency of strong cold fronts in a set of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project climate models under the SSP5‐8.5 scenario. We find a general decrease in cold front frequency across the Northern Hemisphere, particularly over the oceans, and in ...
Paola B. Corrales, Martin Singh, Michael J. Reeder   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

The role of aerosol trends in rainfall over India

Meteorologische Zeitschrift
Anthropogenic aerosol emissions have shown an increasing trend over India since the beginning of the twenty-first century, in contrast to many other regions. The associated aerosol radiative effects are thus expected to be gradually enhanced. Here, using
Ribu Cherian, Johannes Quaas
doaj   +1 more source

Impacts of Anthropogenic Aerosol‐Forced North Atlantic SST Variability on the Simulated Historical Global Warming

Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 53, Issue 18, 28 September 2026.
Abstract Climate models with identical anthropogenic forcings simulate different historical warming, mainly because aerosol forcing is poorly constrained. The role of uncertainty in regional aerosol forcing, however, has not been systematically studied.
Harun A. Rashid
wiley   +1 more source

More Stabilizing Radiative Feedbacks in CO2 Removal Scenarios

Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 53, Issue 18, 28 September 2026.
Abstract Recent studies show that global mean surface temperature exhibits a transient hysteresis during CO2 ${\mathrm{C}\mathrm{O}}_{2}$ removal, where temperatures remain elevated after CO2 ${\mathrm{C}\mathrm{O}}_{2}$ concentrations return to pre‐industrial levels.
Ivan Mitevski, Gabriel A. Vecchi
wiley   +1 more source