Results 81 to 90 of about 29,437 (300)

Evaluation of CMIP6 Models in Simulating Australian Monsoon Over Northern Australia

International Journal of Climatology, EarlyView.
The study assesses CMIP6 models for their ability to simulate key aspects of the Australian summer monsoon, including precipitation patterns, wind circulation, monsoon onset/retreat, and ENSO teleconnections. Most models overestimate rainfall, underestimate wind strength, and simulate more uniform ENSO influence across northeast and northwest Australia.
Rida S. Kiani, Josephine R. Brown, Andrew D. King, Claire Vincent, Nicola Maher   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

Evaluating Causal Arctic‐Midlatitude Teleconnections in CMIP6

Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 2023
AbstractTo analyze links among key processes that contribute to Arctic‐midlatitude teleconnections we apply causal discovery based on graphical models known as causal graphs. First, we calculate the causal dependencies from observations during 1980–2021.
Galytska, Evgenia, Weigel, Katja, Handorf, Dörthe, Jaiser, Ralf, Köhler, Raphael, Runge, Jakob, Eyring, Veronika   +6 more
openaire   +2 more sources

Projected 21st Century Changes in Precipitation and Temperature Over Italy Using CMIP6 CMCC‐CM2‐SR5 Model and COSMO‐CLM Dynamical Downscaling

International Journal of Climatology, EarlyView.
This study evaluates the COSMO‐CLM regional climate model over Italy under CMIP6 scenarios. Compared to its driving global model, COSMO‐CLM reduces temperature biases by 50%–75% and better represents precipitation and extremes, adding critical mesoscale detail.
Alejandro Vichot‐Llano, Mario Raffa, Angelo Campanale, Marianna Adinolfi, Gabriella Ceci, Paola Mercogliano   +5 more
wiley   +1 more source

Assessment of the impact of climate change on urban flooding: A case study of Beijing, China

Journal of Water and Climate Change, 2022
Global climate change and rapid urbanization increase the risk of urban flooding, especially in China. Climate change and the ‘heat island effect’ have increased the frequency of extreme precipitation.
XingChen Ding, WeiHong Liao, XiaoHui Lei, Hao Wang, JiaLi Yang, Hao Wang   +5 more
doaj   +1 more source

Projected Evolution of Climatic Aridity in Spain: Robust Signals and Model Uncertainties

International Journal of Climatology, EarlyView.
This study examines the projected evolution of climatic aridity in Spain throughout the 21st century, using the UNEP Aridity Index and CMIP6 simulations under different emission scenarios and global warming levels. Despite model biases, results show a general increase in aridity across the country, particularly in southern regions and the Canary ...
Víctor Trullenque‐Blanco, María del Mar Rondón Velasco, Maialen Iturbide, José Manuel Gutiérrez, Sergio M. Vicente‐Serrano, Santiago Beguería   +5 more
wiley   +1 more source

Analysis of the Characteristics of Non-stationary Spatio-temporal Variations of Future Temperature in the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau Based on EOF-EEMD Combination

Gaoyuan qixiang
Using effective bias correction methods and transforming non-stationary data to stationary can enhance the scientific accuracy of temperature analysis， allowing for a deeper understanding of its temporal and spatial distribution characteristics and ...
Xue ZHANG, Xiaohua DONG, Yaoming MA, Chengqi GONG, Xueer HU, Ling CHEN, Zhongbo SU   +6 more
doaj   +1 more source

Assessment of CMIP6 models’ performances and projection of precipitation based on SSP scenarios over the MENAP region

Journal of Water and Climate Change, 2022
Precipitation is the main component of the hydrological cycle. It has a significant effect on the ecosystem especially, irrigation and drainage system design and management, crop production, and flood and drought management.
Ebrahim Mesgari, Seyed Asaad Hosseini, Maliheh Sadat Hemmesy, Mahmoud Houshyar, Leila Golzari Partoo   +4 more
doaj   +1 more source

Dry‐Season Water Deficits in the Southwestern Amazon Under High Emissions

International Journal of Climatology, EarlyView.
Projected climatic water deficit in the study region indicates a longer and more intense dry season, with delays in the onset of the wet season under higher emission scenarios. These changes, particularly, pronounced under SSP5‐8.5, suggest increased ecological vulnerability and greater seasonal water stress.
Débora J. Dutra, Chris Jones, Richard A. Betts, Igor J. M. Ferreira, Luiz E. O. C. Aragão, Guilherme Mataveli, Henrique Leão, Breno I. Domingos, Beatriz F. Cabral, Philip M. Fearnside, Paulo M. L. A. Graça, Aurora M. Yanai, Celso H. L. Silva‐Junior, Thais P. de Medeiros, Ricardo Dalagnol, Daniel Braga, Vinícius Peripato, Chantelle Burton, Liana O. Anderson   +18 more
wiley   +1 more source

Selecting CMIP6 Models for Future Arctic Storylines Using a Novel Performance Score

Tellus: Series A, Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography
Storylines are physically plausible scenarios of future climate change, statistically derived from an ensemble of climate model projections and organized according to the magnitude of projected changes in two or more remote drivers that strongly ...
Lise Seland Graff, Oskar A. Landgren, Kajsa M. Parding, Xavier Levine, Ryan S. Williams, Priscilla A. Mooney   +5 more
doaj   +1 more source

Projected Annual and Monsoonal Precipitation Trends of CMIP6 Over Peninsular Malaysia

International Journal of Climatology, EarlyView.
In this study, we examined historical and projected precipitation temporal trends across Peninsular Malaysia using ground‐based records and CMIP6 models from NEX‐GDDP. Analysing data from 518 reliable gauges over 1973–2022, it identified spatial and monsoonal variations.
Nurul Afiqah Mohamad Arbai, Masayasu Irie   +1 more
wiley   +1 more source