Mixing It Up: Inflation at Risk
Abstract Understanding how risk factors shape the economic outlook is essential for guiding policy decisions. This paper develops a flexible framework that decomposes distributional risk forecasts of macro‐economic variables into underlying contributions and supports the construction of interpretable risk measures.
MAXIMILIAN SCHRÖDER
wiley +1 more source
Economic Impact of Asbestos in Colombia: Estimation of the Direct and Societal Costs of Lung Cancer and Mesothelioma in 2022. [PDF]
Villamizar G +3 more
europepmc +1 more source
Countercyclical Return Expectations: Evidence from the Livingston Survey
Abstract This paper shows that forecasts from professional economists in the Livingston survey imply countercyclical variation in expected excess returns on U.S. stocks. These expectations are approximately rational and strongly positively correlated with expected excess returns from the log‐utility investor of Martin (2017), the habit model of ...
STIG V. MØLLER +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Financial development and economic growth in Sub-Saharan Africa using system GMM analysis. [PDF]
Ergano TY, Rao SP.
europepmc +1 more source
Unconventional but Different After All? A Unified Series of Narrative Monetary Policy Shocksa
Abstract We construct a unified series of narrative monetary policy shocks for the United States that spans both conventional and unconventional policy episodes, combining Romer and Romer's identification with Wu and Xia's shadow rate. The methodological consistency across regimes allows us to formally test whether monetary policy transmission differs ...
DAVID BÜGEL +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Early life sugar rationing and ageing related diseases, biological ageing and mortality. [PDF]
Zheng J +13 more
europepmc +1 more source
Driven by risk: Understanding reference‐dependent preferences using simulated auto racing
Abstract Using data from over 56,000 simulated auto races worldwide, we analyze risk‐taking at the margins, consistent with reference‐dependent preferences. We show that participants' risk‐taking changes when a desired intermittent outcome is presented, sometimes at the expense of a more favorable expected end state.
James Hilliard +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Societal cost-of-illness analysis of self-injection of biologics for patients with rheumatoid arthritis in Japan using claims, surveys, and national statistics. [PDF]
Takahata K +3 more
europepmc +1 more source
Systemic, Lifestyle and Environmental Modifying Factors in the Pathogenesis of Periodontitis
A variety of impacting factors in the pathogenesis of periodontitis exist, including systemic, lifestyle, and environmental factors. This review highlights the manifold mechanistic aspects of the link between the pathogenesis of periodontitis, addressing these numerous factors to supplement the long‐standing knowledge of the progression of the disease.
Sabine Elisabeth Groeger +5 more
wiley +1 more source

