Results 241 to 250 of about 5,614,345 (304)

Mixing It Up: Inflation at Risk

open access: yesJournal of Money, Credit and Banking, EarlyView.
Abstract Understanding how risk factors shape the economic outlook is essential for guiding policy decisions. This paper develops a flexible framework that decomposes distributional risk forecasts of macro‐economic variables into underlying contributions and supports the construction of interpretable risk measures.
MAXIMILIAN SCHRÖDER
wiley   +1 more source

Countercyclical Return Expectations: Evidence from the Livingston Survey

open access: yesJournal of Money, Credit and Banking, EarlyView.
Abstract This paper shows that forecasts from professional economists in the Livingston survey imply countercyclical variation in expected excess returns on U.S. stocks. These expectations are approximately rational and strongly positively correlated with expected excess returns from the log‐utility investor of Martin (2017), the habit model of ...
STIG V. MØLLER   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Unconventional but Different After All? A Unified Series of Narrative Monetary Policy Shocksa

open access: yesJournal of Money, Credit and Banking, EarlyView.
Abstract We construct a unified series of narrative monetary policy shocks for the United States that spans both conventional and unconventional policy episodes, combining Romer and Romer's identification with Wu and Xia's shadow rate. The methodological consistency across regimes allows us to formally test whether monetary policy transmission differs ...
DAVID BÜGEL   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Early life sugar rationing and ageing related diseases, biological ageing and mortality. [PDF]

open access: yesNat Commun
Zheng J   +13 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Driven by risk: Understanding reference‐dependent preferences using simulated auto racing

open access: yesJournal of Risk and Insurance, EarlyView.
Abstract Using data from over 56,000 simulated auto races worldwide, we analyze risk‐taking at the margins, consistent with reference‐dependent preferences. We show that participants' risk‐taking changes when a desired intermittent outcome is presented, sometimes at the expense of a more favorable expected end state.
James Hilliard   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Systemic, Lifestyle and Environmental Modifying Factors in the Pathogenesis of Periodontitis

open access: yesJournal of Periodontal Research, EarlyView.
A variety of impacting factors in the pathogenesis of periodontitis exist, including systemic, lifestyle, and environmental factors. This review highlights the manifold mechanistic aspects of the link between the pathogenesis of periodontitis, addressing these numerous factors to supplement the long‐standing knowledge of the progression of the disease.
Sabine Elisabeth Groeger   +5 more
wiley   +1 more source

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