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Probabilities of Counterfactuals Are Counterfactual Probabilities

The Journal of Philosophy
Suppose that, yesterday at noon, Maria considered flipping a fair coin but didn’t. What probability do you assign to “If Maria had flipped the coin, the coin would have landed heads"? Now suppose that, contrary to fact, Maria did indeed flip the coin. In that counterfactual scenario, what is the probability of “The coin will land tails"?
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Counterfactuals, probabilistic counterfactuals and causation

Mind, 1999
It seems to be generally accepted that (a) counterfactual conditionals are to be analysed in terms of possible worlds and inter-world relations of similarity and (b) causation is conceptually prior to counterfactuals. I argue here that both (a) and (b) are false.
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Similarities and differences in understanding negative and affirmative counterfactuals and causal assertions: Evidence from eye-tracking

Quarterly Journal of Experimental Psychology, 2022
Isabel Orenes   +2 more
exaly  

Causes, Counterfactuals, and Counterfactual History

Journal of the Philosophy of History
Abstract I argue that there are three different sorts of counterfactuals involved in causal investigation and counterfactual history and that these counterfactuals range from the relatively unproblematic to the hopelessly speculative. This threefold distinction undermines a central argument in support of counterfactual history and supports the critics’
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On Counterfactual Computation

2005
In this paper we pursue two targets. First, showing that counterfactual computation can be rigorously formalised as a quantum computation. Second, presenting a new counterfactual protocol which improve previous protocols. Counterfactual computation makes use of quantum mechanics’ peculiarities to infer the outcome of a quantum computation without ...
openaire   +2 more sources

Counterfactuals as modal conditionals, and their probability

Artificial Intelligence, 2023
Giuliano Rosella, Tommaso Flaminio
exaly  

Heim Sequences and Why Most Unqualified ‘Would’-Counterfactuals Are Not True

Australasian Journal of Philosophy, 2021
Yael Loewenstein
exaly  

Determinism, Counterfactuals, and Decision

Australasian Journal of Philosophy, 2021
Alexander Sandgren   +1 more
exaly  

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