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Caffeine and taurine: a systematic review and network meta-analysis of their individual and combined effects on physical capacity, cognitive function, and physiological markers. [PDF]
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Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods, 2020
Frequentist and Bayesian approaches for interval estimation usually produce conflicting results if applied to analyze the same data set.
Ivair R. Silva, Dionatan W. R. Oliveira
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Frequentist and Bayesian approaches for interval estimation usually produce conflicting results if applied to analyze the same data set.
Ivair R. Silva, Dionatan W. R. Oliveira
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Expressing Regret: A Unified View of Credible Intervals
The American Statistician, 2022Posterior uncertainty is typically summarized as a credible interval, an interval in the parameter space that contains a fixed proportion - usually 95% - of the posterior's support. For multivariate parameters, credible sets perform the same role. There are of course many potential 95% intervals from which to choose, yet even standard choices are ...
Kenneth Rice, Lingbo Ye
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When 90% confidence intervals are 50% certain: on the credibility of credible intervals
Applied Cognitive Psychology, 2005AbstractEstimated confidence intervals for general knowledge items are usually too narrow. We report five experiments showing that people have much less confidence in these intervals than dictated by the assigned level of confidence. For instance, 90% intervals can be associated with an estimated confidence of 50% or less (and still lower hit rates ...
Karl Halvor Teigen, Magne JØrgensen
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