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THE GLOBAL FINANCIAL CRISES AND THEIR TYPES
Vestnik MGIMO-Universiteta, 2015 In this study the author reveals the essence of the financial crisis and examines the various types of financial crises. By studying the literature on financial crises, the author of the studypays attention to three specific areas: the definition of the ...
E. V. Vasina
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An optimal early warning system for currency crises under model uncertainty
Central Bank Review, 2020 This paper assesses several early warning (EWS) models of financial crises to propose a model that can predict the incidence of a currency crisis in developing countries.
Mamdouh Abdelmoula M. Abdelsalam +1 more
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Common Shocks and Currency Crises [PDF]
Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, Working Paper Series, 2000 This paper attempts to determine the extent to which common external shocks explain simultaneous currency crises. We define crises on a country by country basis using a new criterion that takes into account variations in the volatility of exchange rates over time and across countries. Using a Poisson regression model, we find that over the post-Bretton
Ramon Moreno, Bharat Trehan
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Assessing Financial Vulnerability in Emerging Economies: A Summary of Empirical Results
East Asian Economic Review, 2000 This paper aims to identify key empirical regularities in the run-up to banking and currency crises that would enable officials and private market participants to recognize vulnerability to financial crises at an earlier stage. This, in turn, should make
Morris Goldstein +2 more
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Leading Indicators of Currency Crises [PDF]
Staff Papers - International Monetary Fund, 1998 This paper examines the empirical evidence on currency crises and proposes a specific early warning system. This system involves monitoring the evolution of several indicators that tend to exhibit an unusual behavior in the periods preceding a crisis. When an indicator exceeds a certain threshold value, this is interpreted as a warning "signal" that a ...
Reinhart, Carmen +2 more
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AN ANALYSIS OF THE METHODS USED FOR DEVISING EARLY WARNING SYSTEMS FOR CURRENCY CRISES [PDF]
Challenges of the Knowledge Society, 2014 Currency crises may appear and propagate under many forms, a fact which led to their analysis through various methods. The need to predict systemic crises has led to the creation of a monitoring instrument known as the early warning system - EWS.
Alexandru OLTEANU +1 more
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Devaluation of the Ruble: External Shocks and Internal Problems [PDF]
Пространственная экономика, 2018 During the entire post-Soviet period of the Russian economy’ transformation, more or less regular crises of the monetary and financial system were observed, reflecting both the cyclical nature of domestic macroeconomic and institutional processes and the
Pavel Aleksandrovich Minakir
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Pediatric Blood &Cancer, EarlyView.ABSTRACT Background Loneliness is associated with adverse physical and mental health outcomes and remains understudied in children and adolescents undergoing cancer therapy. Pediatric oncology patients may be at increased risk due to medical isolation and disruption of social networks.
Charlotte N. Stahlfeld +5 more
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Early Warning Systems for Currency Crises [PDF]
Global Economic Observer, 2019 Currency crises may appear and propagate under many forms, a fact which led to their analysis through various methods. In a meta-analysis, a couple of authors (Frankel and Saravelos) review more than 80 papers of the literature on early warning systems ...
MĂDĂLINA ANTOANETA RĂDOI
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Journal of Banking and Financial Economics, 2016 We compare how logit (fi xed effects) and probit early warning systems (EWS) predict in-sample and out-of-sample currency crises in emerging markets (EMs).
Fabio Comelli
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