Results 81 to 90 of about 981 (262)
Assessing the impact of model biases on subseasonal forecast skill
Relaxation experiments where the nudging was performed towards bias‐corrected integrations of the same model display significantly improved skill at weeks 3 and 4, particularly in the northern extratropics. This indicates that there is a large potential for improving dynamical subseasonal forecasting skill by improved treatment of model biases.
Frédéric Vitart, Magdalena Balmaseda
wiley +1 more source
Environmental pollution has become a pressing global concern that poses significant health risks and socioeconomic challenges. Developing countries are witnessing increased chronic diseases attributed to water and air pollution.
Johana Astudillo Gutierrez +3 more
doaj +1 more source
Key Findings: An assimilation methodology is established for the Tomorrow.io microwave sounder (TMS) flying on CubeSats in sun‐synchronous and inclined orbits, and in all cloud scenes. The TMS has a significant impact on weather forecast lead times up to 3 days in the Tropics in a research‐quality numerical weather prediction setting, and yields water ...
Jonathan J. Guerrette +3 more
wiley +1 more source
This study investigates year‐round exceptionally poor and good day‐6 forecasts of the 500‐hPa geopotential height field over Europe using 45 years of ERA5 reforecasts and applies a weather regime perspective to analyse large‐scale pattern evolution and regime transitions.
Seraphine Hauser +4 more
wiley +1 more source
Covariance of the intertropical discontinuity and African easterly jet in Sahelian wet and dry years
Intertropical discontinuity and African easterly jet (AEJ) positions are strongly correlated, with a more pronounced linear relationship across wet years. Surface heat flux anomalies modify low‐level temperature and sensible heat flux gradients that shift the AEJ core south of the gradient maxima in both composites.
Marian Amoakowaah Osei +4 more
wiley +1 more source
Does vertical wind shear increase tropical cyclone rain?
A 26‐year modern precipitation dataset is used to systematically assess tropical cyclone (TC) rainfall responses to vertical wind shear (VWS). VWS enhances rainfall volume in TCs by up to 23%, despite reducing storm intensity, revealing a trade‐off where VWS mitigates wind damage but potentially amplifies flood risk.
King Heng Lau, Ralf Toumi
wiley +1 more source
Quantifying driving ensemble influence on operational convection‐permitting ensemble spread
By comparing statistics of precipitation patterns between a convection‐permitting ensemble and the global ensemble used to drive it, we investigate the conditions under which the convection‐permitting ensemble diverges from the evolution of the driving ensemble.
Adam Gainford +4 more
wiley +1 more source
(a) Organized convection: clouds are clustered at the southern edge of the domain, aligning with the warmest SST. Northeasterly winds prevail, facilitating convection confinement to the southern part of the domain. (b) ITCZ breakdown: the clouds are spread throughout the domain.
Alejandro Casallas +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Indian and African monsoons: Trajectories and interactions
The catch basin of marine air particles of the Indian monsoon is the tropical Indian ocean, whilst that of the African monsoon is the east tropical Atlantic. However, the oscillations induced by the monsoonal interactions favour particle exchange between the two basins. These transitions are abrupt in the presence of stochastic resonance. The monsoonal
Giovanni A. Dalu, Marina Baldi
wiley +1 more source

