Results 101 to 110 of about 25,752 (301)

Predictability of North Pacific blocking events: Analogue‐based analysis of historical MIROC6 simulations

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
The predictability of western and eastern North Pacific blocking events is assessed using analogue‐based diagnostics. Eastern blocks exhibit lower predictability, characterized by faster error growth and higher mean logarithmic divergence rates. The study highlights geographical contrasts in blocking stability.
Anupama K. Xavier, Oisín Hamilton, Davide Faranda, Stéphane Vannitsem   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Operational all‐sky assimilation of geostationary infrared water‐vapour channels in the regional ICON‐D2 model with an ensemble Kalman filter

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Though many studies have shown potential benefit in assimilating all‐sky infrared radiances from geostationary satellites, at numerical weather prediction centres it is still common practice to assimilate clear‐sky radiances. We present the operationalization of the all‐sky assimilation of the spinning enhanced visible and infrared imager (SEVIRI ...
Annika Schomburg, Christoph Schraff, Christina Köpken‐Watts, Klaus Stephan, Liselotte Schühl, Robin Faulwetter   +5 more
wiley   +1 more source

Seasonal Cycles in European Agricultural Commodity Prices [PDF]

This paper explores the seasonal cycles of European agricultural commodity prices. We focus on three food crops (barley, soft and durum wheat) and on beef.
Jumah, Adusei, Kunst, Robert M.
core  

Exceptionally poor and good medium‐range forecasts of the large‐scale circulation over Europe in ERA5 reforecasts

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
This study investigates year‐round exceptionally poor and good day‐6 forecasts of the 500‐hPa geopotential height field over Europe using 45 years of ERA5 reforecasts and applies a weather regime perspective to analyse large‐scale pattern evolution and regime transitions.
Seraphine Hauser, Steven M. Cavallo, Linus Magnusson, Jonathan E. Martin, David B. Parsons   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

A study of a seasonal influenza model in deterministic and stochastic environments

Journal of Nonlinear Science
Abstract Seasonal influenza occurs annually and is one of the most common infectious diseases in the world, posing a threat to public health security. Therefore, it is essential to study the dynamics of seasonal influenza to raise public awareness and implement scientific prevention measures. Huo et al.
Zhang, Xiaoshan, Zhang, Xinhong, Jiang, Daqing   +2 more
openaire   +2 more sources

Quantifying driving ensemble influence on operational convection‐permitting ensemble spread

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
By comparing statistics of precipitation patterns between a convection‐permitting ensemble and the global ensemble used to drive it, we investigate the conditions under which the convection‐permitting ensemble diverges from the evolution of the driving ensemble.
Adam Gainford, Suzanne L. Gray, Thomas H. A. Frame, Aurore N. Porson, Marco Milan   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

Investigating the impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) on post-pandemic Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV) hospitalisations and seasonality in Wales, UK

Epidemics
Introduction:: Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV) is a single-stranded RNA virus and a major cause of hospitalisations in paediatric and geriatric populations. In the Northern Hemisphere, the RSV season is typically between October and March.
Gabriella Santiago, Carla White, Brendan Collins, Simon Cottrell, Chris Williams, Biagio Lucini, Mike B. Gravenor   +6 more
doaj   +1 more source

COBASE: A new copula‐based shuffling method for ensemble weather forecast postprocessing

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
We propose COBASE, a novel copula‐based postprocessing methododology that combines the strengths of multivariate parametric correction with non‐parametric rank‐based approaches. We consider two case studies for multi‐site temperature in Austria and multi‐site temperature and dew‐point temperature in the Netherlands.
Maurits Flos, Bastien François, Irene Schicker, Kirien Whan, Elisa Perrone   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

LOSS MODEL OF CLIMATE INSURANCE BASED ON EFFECT OF GROWING DEGREE DAYS INDEX

Barekeng
Climate change is a threat to agriculture, especially food crops such as rice. Climate index insurance is an alternative to cover the risk of agricultural losses due to crop failure due to climate change factors.
I Gusti Ayu Wulan Anggasari, Ahmad Fuad Zainuddin, Sapto Wahyu Indratno, Muhammad Haekal Yunus   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

Tourism in the Canary Islands: Forecasting Using Several Seasonal Time Series Models [PDF]

This paper deals with the analysis of the number of tourists travelling to the Canary Islands by means of using different seasonal statistical models. Deterministic and stochastic seasonality is considered.
Juncal Cuñado, Luis A. Gil-Alaña
core