How Important Are Sectoral Shocks in Australia?
Australian Economic Review, EarlyView.ABSTRACT We examine the role of sectoral shocks in driving aggregate fluctuations for the Australian economy between 1994 and 2023, comparing the pre‐COVID and COVID periods. Using both statistical and structural factor models for disaggregated industrial production, we find that sectoral shocks accounted for a substantial portion of aggregate ...
Longye Tian, James Morley
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Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, EarlyView.ABSTRACT This paper examines the relationships between chemical use, namely fertilisers and pesticides, and the production risk of conventional maize in Northern Italy. Using data from the Italian Farm Accountancy Data Network for the period 2015–2020, merged with a station‐based weather dataset, we analyse the production risk through moments of farm ...
Thi Thanh Thuong Dang +2 more
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Correcting Structural Bias in Dynamical Models of Infectious Disease Using a Bayesian State-Space Framework. [PDF]
Bull Math BiolAmadi M, García-Merino JC, Haario H.
europepmc +1 more source
Modelling Underlying Energy Demand Trends and Stochastic Seasonality: An Econometric Analysis of Transport Oil Demand in the UK and Japan [PDF]
This paper demonstrates the importance of adequately modelling the Underlying Energy Demand Trend (UEDT) and seasonality when estimating transportation oil demand for the UK and Japan. The structural time series model is therefore employed to allow for a
Yasushi Ninomiya, Lester C Hunt
core
Journal of the Royal Anthropological Institute, EarlyView.Indigenous societies along the temperate Pacific coast of North America embody diverse cultural institutions. This variation is conventionally classified into two distinct cultural areas: the Northwest Coast (NWC) and California (CAL). Discussion of the environmental, material, social, and ideological variation in these societies has a long and ...
Eric Alden Smith, Brian F. Codding
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Succession in a Tropical Dry Forest: A Test of the Chronosequence and Inference of Community Assembly Dynamics. [PDF]
Ecol EvolCarrington ME, Ross MS, Subedi SC.
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Deterministic Seasonality versus Seasonal Fractional Integration [PDF]
We propose in this article the use of a testing procedure due to Robinson (1994) for testing deterministic seasonality versus seasonal fractional integration.
Luis A. Gil-Alana
core
Integrative Zoology, EarlyView.Across selected bullfrog farms in major Chinese production regions, 106 intestinal ARG subtypes were detected, with tetracycline and sulfonamide resistance genes predominating and clear farm‐level variation. High‐risk ARGs, including ermB, floR, and qnrA, were associated with heavy metals, MGEs, and opportunistic pathogens. These findings highlight the
Yang Xu +7 more
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What Drives the Changing Characteristics of Plankton in Floodplain Lakes: Season, Environmental Factors, or Lake Characteristics? [PDF]
Ecol EvolJiang L +6 more
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Optimizing Tuberculosis Incidence Prediction: A Systematic Review of Hybrid Modeling Approaches and Machine Learning Techniques [PDF]
Public Health ChallThis systematic review and meta‐regression compared the performance of statistical, machine learning, and hybrid models in forecasting tuberculosis (TB) incidence. The study followed PRISMA 2020 guidelines and included studies published between 2010 and 2024. Hybrid models, particularly ARIMA‐LSTM, demonstrated superior forecasting accuracy compared to
Singh D +5 more
europepmc +2 more sources