Optimized MaxEnt modeling predicts the distribution change of <i>Chaenomeles</i> sp<i>eciosa</i> (Sweet) Nakai in China under global climate change. [PDF]
Shen H +6 more
europepmc +1 more source
ABSTRACT We propose a multilevel econometric model with time‐varying spillover parameters that disentangle within‐country from between‐country growth spillovers. Parameter estimation is carried out by the method of maximum likelihood. The finite‐sample properties of the resulting estimates are validated through a Monte Carlo study.
F. Blasques +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Predicting the burden of co-infections in seasonally driven dynamics of pediatric rotavirus and norovirus. [PDF]
Ain MQ, Peace A.
europepmc +1 more source
Abstract How hot is too hot for people? This is a question that human thermal physiologists are asked often by a variety of knowledge users across the public and private sectors, who have grown aware of the negative impact of global warming on people's health and quality of life.
Davide Filingeri, Nuno Koch Esteves
wiley +1 more source
Drivers and metacommunity perspective of differences in regional species richness between main chironomid taxa inhabiting temperate zone rivers. [PDF]
Głowacki Ł +2 more
europepmc +1 more source
Physics‐Constrained Network for Enhanced Extended‐Range Precipitation Forecasting in East Asia
Abstract The complex summer weather in East Asia poses significant challenges of precipitation forecasting. Despite the promising capabilities of deep learning models in conventional forecasting tasks, their black‐box nature limits physical interpretability.
Yudan Wang +7 more
wiley +1 more source
Seasonally specific model analysis of UK cereals prices [PDF]
John Lingard, Philip Kostov
core +2 more sources
Data‐Driven Probabilistic Air‐Sea Flux Parameterization
Abstract Accurately quantifying air‐sea fluxes is important for understanding air‐sea interactions and improving coupled weather and climate models. This study introduces a probabilistic framework to represent the highly variable nature of air‐sea fluxes, which is missing in deterministic bulk algorithms.
Jiarong Wu +6 more
wiley +1 more source
Propagation of the Madden-Julian oscillation as a deterministic chaotic phenomenon. [PDF]
Takasuka D +3 more
europepmc +1 more source
Assessing Subseasonal Predictions of Stratosphere‐Troposphere Coupling of GraphCast
Abstract The rapid development of artificial intelligence weather forecasting models (AIWFMs) has revolutionized weather prediction. GraphCast, a leading AIWFM, outperforms state‐of‐the‐art physics‐based numerical models at the surface and in the lower troposphere.
Zheng Wu
wiley +1 more source

