Results 121 to 130 of about 41,359 (312)
Why Are Asset Returns Predictable? [PDF]
Starting from an information process governed by a geometric Brownian motion we show that asset returns are predictable if the elasticity of the pricing kernel is not constant.
Lüders, Erik
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Teaching financial crises: A leverage experiment
Southern Economic Journal, EarlyView.Abstract College students often struggle to understand the prevalence of asset price bubbles and the difficulty of timing asset purchases and sales. Even economics students are consistently surprised when bubbles burst. These breaks can have real macroeconomic effects, particularly when the price surge is fueled by leverage.
Lee Coppock, Daniel Harper, Charles Holt
wiley +1 more source
International Stock Return Predictability Under Model Uncertainty [PDF]
This paper examines return predictability when the investor is uncertain about the right state variables. A novel feature of the model averaging approach used in this paper is to account for finite-sample bias of the coefficients in the predictive ...
Schrimpf, Andreas
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Financial forecasts of SMEs in IPOs: fact or fiction? [PDF]
, 2015 Este artículo valora el proceso de previsión financiera de las pequeñas y medianas empresas (PYME) en sus salidas a bolsa. Específicamente, se analiza la calidad de las previsiones de beneficios realizadas y se exploran los factores que determinan la ...
Alonso Canales, Fernando +1 more
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Systems Research and Behavioral Science, EarlyView.ABSTRACT Access to forests, farming land and the Citarum river is limited in Tarumajaya; furthermore, many do not own their own housing and are dependent on the public and private landowners in the area. The region of Tarumajaya faces significant challenges in access to crucial resources such as forests, farming land and the Citarum river, leading to a
Rudolf Wirawan +4 more
wiley +1 more source
Embedded Interactions and Selective Disclosure: Network Effects on Conversations aboard Skylab
Symbolic Interaction, EarlyView.How do absent others influence our interactions? We argue in this paper that interactions are embedded within networks formed by chains of specific relationships between known third parties. The anticipation of future interactions with external others conditions our interpretation of the current situation and affects our behavior in the interaction. We
Michael Schultz +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Probability forecasts – Part 2: will people understand?
Weather, EarlyView.Ensemble weather forecasts have been in use for many years to help forecasters understand uncertainty in weather predictions but are now becoming core to some operational NWP systems. Part 1 introduced the rationale for ensemble forecasts and the production of useful forecasts.
Ken Mylne
wiley +1 more source
The Political Quarterly, EarlyView.Abstract The 2024 UK general election saw candidates make frequent rhetorical references to parents and grandparents. But what are the political functions and implications of such references? Drawing together recent research in political psychology and sociology, this article interprets such references as attempts to articulate ‘vicarious identities ...
Joseph Haigh
wiley +1 more source
The mean, co-variability, and predictability of the return of different classes of financial assets challenge the rational economic model for an explanation.
George M. Constantinides
core
Journal of the Royal Anthropological Institute, EarlyView.Why do some women choose to submit to their husbands in marriage? In anthropology, the paradox of ‘chosen submission’ has famously been explored by Saba Mahmood. Her work amongst Egyptian women donning the veil in the Islamic da'wa movement spotlights the notion of ‘piety’ to explore how devotion to God can act as a powerful motivator of human ...
Naomi Richman
wiley +1 more source