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CEO incentives and earnings prediction
Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, 2012This study investigates whether information about Chief Executive Officer (CEO) incentives is useful for predicting future earnings. We find that in companies with higher CEO equity incentives, current year earnings are more informative of future earnings than in other companies. Additionally, in an earnings prediction setting, CEO incentives are shown
James Jianxin Gong, Siyi Li
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Predictability of Aggregate Earnings
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2011In this study, I provide evidence that aggregate earnings are predictable based on the cointegration relation between earnings and cash flows implied by the accounting identity that earnings is the sum of the cash flows and the accruals. I first show that earnings and cash flows follow random walks with drifts while accruals is stationary with zero ...
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Classification Shifting and Earnings Predictability
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2018The literature measures classification shifting as the relation between unexpected core earnings and income-decreasing special items. The general view in this literature is that managers shift core expenses to special items to inflate core earnings to achieve self-motivated reporting objectives.
Kelly Ha, Wayne B. Thomas
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COMPANIES PREDICT BETTER EARNINGS
Chemical & Engineering News Archive, 2002IT'S THAT TIME OF THE FISCAL quarter when many companies try to give investors an indication of how good—or bad—earnings will be. This time around, it seems that after a long, dismal spell, things maybe looking up. Diversified chemical companies, such as DuPont and Lubrizol, say conditions have improved and are revising earnings forecasts upward ...
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Predicting earnings in a poor information environment
Journal of Contemporary Accounting & Economics, 2013Abstract Financial intermediaries, such as analysts, play an important role in providing information to investors. However, a large segment of the market (about 39% of CRSP firms between 1992 and 2009) is not served by financial analysts, leaving investors in a poor information environment.
Weimin Wang, Frank Wang
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Using Industry Earnings to Predict Market Earnings
2016วารสารวิชาชีพบัญชี JAP, 12, 34 (มิถุนายน 59)
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Earnings Predictability and the Direction of Analysts' Earnings Forecast Errors
The Accounting Review, 2003Das et al. (1998) suggest that as earnings become less predictable, analysts issue increasingly optimistic forecasts to please managers and consequently gain, or at least limit the loss of, access to managers' private information. We reexamine the association between earnings forecast error and earnings predictability because there is evidence ...
Michael J. Eames, Steven M. Glover
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Predicting Individual Analyst Earnings Forecasts
Journal of Accounting Research, 1990In this study I propose and test a model that predicts individual analyst forecasts of corporate earnings per share (EPS) using the change in the mean consensus forecast of other analysts since the date of the analyst's current outstanding forecast; the deviation of the analyst's current forecast from the consensus forecast; and cumulative stock ...
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PREDICTING CONSOLIDATED EARNINGS IN JAPAN: THE INCREMENTAL USEFULNESS OF SUBSIDIARY EARNINGS
Advances in International Accounting, 2003Abstract Despite the wide acceptance of consolidated earnings worldwide, parent-only financial statements have historically been the primary financial statements in Japan. We examine whether subsidiary earnings in Japan are incrementally useful in predicting consolidated earnings beyond the information already available in parent-only earnings.
Don Herrmann +2 more
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Fixed Costs Impact Earnings Predictions
Financial Analysts Journal, 1979(1979). Fixed Costs Impact Earnings Predictions. Financial Analysts Journal: Vol. 35, No. 1, pp. 46-48.
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