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Systematic Earthquake Forecast
Физика Земли / Izvestiya, Physics of the Solid EarthA computer-based method for systematic earthquake forecasting is discussed. The forecast is calculated regularly and over a fixed time interval. The result is a map of the alarm zone where the epicenters of target earthquakes are expected. A forecast is considered successful if all the epicenters of target earthquakes within the given interval fall ...
V. G. Gitis, A. B. Derendyaev
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Forecasting for Largest Earthquakes
Management Science, 1974The primary concern of this paper is the establishment of a forecasting procedure for largest earthquake magnitudes of the next n years. It is shown that the use of the third-type asymptotic distribution of the largest values as an approximation to the exact distribution provides for an expression for the expected value and the mode of the largest ...
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Earthquake and its forecasting
GeoJournal, 1980Present status of earthquake prediction and warning is reviewed with special emphasis on the “Large-Scale Earthquake Countermeasures Act” in Japan. Following possible regionalization of occurrences of a great earthquake by means of historical data analysis and crustal strain monitoring, statistics of earthquake precursors are presented along with the ...
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Stress-forecasting Earthquakes
Seismological Research Letters, 1999In recent Opinions in Seismological Research Letters Paul Silver has suggested that earthquake prediction is not possible, whereas Lowell S. Whiteside suggests that it is. Earthquake prediction means many things. There are at least three types of (conventional) earthquake prediction. Deterministic prediction is where the behavior before the earthquake (
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Prospective evaluation of multiplicative hybrid earthquake forecasting models in California
Geophysical Journal International, 2022JOSÉ A Bayona +2 more
exaly
Operational Earthquake Forecasting in Italy: validation after 10 yr of operativity
Geophysical Journal International, 2023Ilaria Spassiani +2 more
exaly
Earthquake Prediction and Forecasting
2004Prospects for earthquake prediction and forecasting, and even their definitions, are actively debated. Here, forecasting means estimating the future earthquake rate as a function of location, time, and magnitude. Forecasting becomes prediction when we identify special conditions that make the immediate probability much higher than usual and high enough
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Towards advancing the earthquake forecasting by machine learning of satellite data
Science of the Total Environment, 2021Pan Xiong, Lei Tong, Kun Zhang
exaly
Research status of earthquake forecasting in hydraulic-fracturing induced earthquakes
Earthquake Science, 2021Xinxin Yin +2 more
exaly