Results 1 to 10 of about 40,280 (259)
Forecasting economic processes [PDF]
International Journal of Forecasting, 1998 When the assumption of constant parameters fails, the in-sample fit of a model may be a poor guide to ex-ante forecast performance. We expound a number of models, methods, and procedures that illustrate the impacts of structural breaks on forecast accuracy, and evaluate ways of improving forecast performance.
Clements, M, Hendry, D
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Forecasting in Economics and Finance [PDF]
Annual Review of Economics, 2016 Practices used to address economic forecasting problems have undergone substantial changes over recent years. We review how such changes have influenced the ways in which a range of forecasting questions are being addressed. We also discuss the promises and challenges arising from access to big data. Finally, we review empirical evidence and experience
Elliott, Graham, Timmermann, Allan G
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A Framework for Economic Forecasting [PDF]
International Finance Discussion Papers, 1998 This paper proposes a tripartite framework of design, evaluation, and post-evaluation analysis for generating and interpreting economic forecasts. This framework's value is illustrated by re-examining mean square forecast errors from dynamic models and nonlinearity biases from empirical forecasts of U.S.
Neil R. Ericsson, Jaime R. Marquez
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Economic Forecasting in a Changing World [PDF]
Capitalism and Society, 2008 This article explains the basis for a theory of economic forecasting developed over the past decade by the authors. The research has resulted in numerous articles in academic journals, two monographs, Forecasting Economic Time Series, 1998, Cambridge University Press, and Forecasting Nonstationary Economic Time Series, 1999, MIT Press, and three edited
Clements, M, Hendry, D
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Forecasting with Economic News
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 2020 The goal of this article is to evaluate the informational content of sentiment extracted from news articles about the state of the economy. We propose a fine-grained aspect-based sentiment analysis that has two main characteristics: (a) we consider only the text in the article that is semantically dependent on a term of interest (aspect-based) and, (b)
Luca Barbaglia +2 more
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Forecasting Economic Aggregates by Disaggregates [PDF]
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2006 We suggest an alternative use of disaggregate information to forecast the aggregate variable of interest, that is to include disaggregate information or disaggregate variables in the aggregate model as opposed to first forecasting the disaggregate variables separately and then aggregating those forecasts or, alternatively, using only lagged aggregate ...
Hendry, David F., Hubrich, Kirstin
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Management of the Development and Implementation of New Generation Technologies
Модернизация, инновация, развитие, 2020 Purpose: to justification of the need to develop new-generation domestic technologies that ensure the competitiveness and stability of the Russian economy to external challenges.
N. I. Komkov, V. V. Sutyagin
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Финансы: теория и практика, 2017 The paper (an analytical note) is concerned with the report “The Strategy for 2018-2024” made by the Center for Strategic Research (CSR) presented by A. L. Kudrin at the RF Presidential meeting held on May 30, 2017.
V. V. Ivanter +3 more
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British Dental Journal, 1993 There has been a great deal of speculation in the media about whether or not there are genuine signs of economic recovery in the UK--the now infamous 'Green Shoots'. Although economic growth is picking up, the rate of acceleration is still very weak. Despite this, many commentators are forecasting that the rate of economic growth will steadily increase
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THE ANALYSIS OF ROMANIAN MIGRANTS' REMITTANCES [PDF]
Analele Universităţii Constantin Brâncuşi din Târgu Jiu : Seria Economie, 2020 Remittances - or money sent to the country by Romanians working abroad - are very difficult to measure accurately, there are situations in which they do not reach relatives through banks or fast transfer companies, but in envelopes by bus drivers, cash
BRÎNDUŞA MIHAELA RADU +2 more
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