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The Economic Effects of Trade Policy Uncertainty [PDF]
International Finance Discussion Papers, 2019 We study the effects of unexpected changes in trade policy uncertainty (TPU) on the U.S. economy. We construct three measures of TPU based on newspaper coverage, firms' earnings conference calls, and aggregate data on tari rates.
Dario Caldara +4 more
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Connected Banks and Economic Policy Uncertainty
Journal of Financial Stability, 2021 In this paper, we examine the role of political connections in mitigating the detrimental impact of policy uncertainty on banks. Our estimates show that banks are more cautious when facing policy uncertainty, but that the effect is partially alleviated when banks are politically connected. For an increase of one standard deviation in policy uncertainty,
Hua Cheng +3 more
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Evaluating tail risks for the US economic policy uncertainty [PDF]
, 2020 The goal of this paper is to employ a relatively new methodological approach to extract quantile-based economic policy uncertainty risk forecasts using the Quantile Autoregressive Distributed Lag Mixed-Frequency Data Sampling (QADL-MIDAS) regression ...
Apergis, Nicholas
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Forecasting European economic policy uncertainty [PDF]
Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 2019 AbstractForecasting the economic policy uncertainty in Europe is of paramount importance given the ongoing sovereign debt crisis. This paper evaluates monthly economic policy uncertainty index forecasts and examines whether ultra‐high frequency information from asset market volatilities and global economic uncertainty can improve the forecasts ...
Degiannakis, Stavros, Filis, George
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Economic policy uncertainty and acquisition performance: Australian evidence
, 2022 We investigate the influence of economic policy uncertainty on the market valuation of acquisitions undertaken by Australian firms, finding a negative association between economic policy uncertainty and abnormal returns earned by acquirers.
Velayutham, Eswaran +5 more
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Economic Policy Uncertainty and Family Firm Innovation: Evidence From Listed Companies in China
Frontiers in Psychology, 2022 With the advancement of China’s economic transformation, the impact of economic policy uncertainty on family firms has become increasingly significant. The “familism” of family firms makes them more motivated to maintain family harmony, pursue innovative
Yong Qi +3 more
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Has Economic Policy Uncertainty Slowed Down the World Economy? [PDF]
, 2013 This study details the effects of policy conflicts and fiscal crises in the United States and Europe. The impact of economic policy on the economy is measured to generate a proxy for policy uncertainty using three groups of observable measures and ...
Bloom, Nicholas
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Monetary policy reaction function and external economic uncertainty: evidence from 30 selected countries [PDF]
Management Science Letters, 2019 A noteworthy feature in the monetary policy decision making is that interest rate can play a significant role in addressing economic uncertainty. Although the empirical studies on monetary policy reaction function routinely include the output gap and the
Pei-Tha Gan +3 more
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Economic Policy Uncertainty in Banking: A Literature Review [PDF]
, 2021 This paper is a survey of the most important research in the economic policy uncertainty literature. Economic policy uncertainty, although still under-researched relative to mainstream topics in economics and finance, has recently received increased scholarly attention.
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DOES ECONOMIC POLICY UNCERTAINTY REDUCE FINANCIAL INCLUSION?
The International Journal of Banking and Finance, 2021 This study investigates whether the level of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) would reduce the level of financial inclusion. It was predicted that a high level of EPU could have a negative effect on the level of financial inclusion. It was argued that a
Peterson K Ozili
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