Incorporating testing volume into estimation of effective reproduction number dynamics. [PDF]
J R Stat Soc Ser A Stat Soc, 2023 Branching process inspired models are widely used to estimate the effective reproduction number-a useful summary statistic describing an infectious disease outbreak-using counts of new cases.
Goldstein IH, Wakefield J, Minin VM.
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Optimal allocation of limited vaccine to minimize the effective reproduction number. [PDF]
Math Biosci, 2021 We examine the problem of allocating a limited supply of vaccine for controlling an infectious disease with the goal of minimizing the effective reproduction number Re.
Rao IJ, Brandeau ML.
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Estimating the effective reproduction number of the 2019-nCoV in China [PDF]
medRxiv, 2020 We estimate the effective reproduction number for 2019-nCoV based on the daily reported cases from China CDC. The results indicate that 2019-nCoV has a higher effective reproduction number than SARS with a comparable fatality rate.
Cao Z +6 more
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EpiFusion: Joint inference of the effective reproduction number by integrating phylodynamic and epidemiological modelling with particle filtering. [PDF]
PLoS Comput Biol, 2023 Accurately estimating the effective reproduction number (Rt) of a circulating pathogen is a fundamental challenge in the study of infectious disease. The fields of epidemiology and pathogen phylodynamics both share this goal, but to date, methodologies ...
Judge C +7 more
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Generative Bayesian modeling to nowcast the effective reproduction number from line list data with missing symptom onset dates. [PDF]
PLoS Comput Biol, 2023 The time-varying effective reproduction number Rt is a widely used indicator of transmission dynamics during infectious disease outbreaks. Timely estimates of Rt can be obtained from reported cases counted by their date of symptom onset, which is ...
Lison A, Abbott S, Huisman J, Stadler T.
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On the Convexity of the Effective Reproduction Number [PDF]
Journal of Computational Biology, 2022 In this study, we analyze the evolution of the effective reproduction number, R, through a Susceptible-Infective-Recovered spreading process in heterogeneous populations; Characterizing its decay process allows to analytically study the effects of ...
Jhonatan Tavori, H. Levy
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The effective reproduction number: Convexity, concavity and invariance [PDF]
Journal of the European Mathematical Society, 2022 Motivated by the question of optimal vaccine allocation strategies in heterogeneous population for epidemic models, we study various properties of the \emph{effective reproduction number}.
Jean-François Delmas +2 more
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ern: An R package to estimate the effective reproduction number using clinical and wastewater surveillance data. [PDF]
PLoS OneThe effective reproduction number, Rt, is an important epidemiological metric used to assess the state of an epidemic, as well as the effectiveness of public health interventions undertaken in response.
Champredon D, Papst I, Yusuf W.
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Occurrence of yellow fever outbreaks in a partially vaccinated population: An analysis of the effective reproduction number. [PDF]
PLoS Negl Trop Dis, 2022 Background Yellow fever is endemic in Africa and the Americas, occurring in urban or sylvatic environments. The infection presents varying symptoms, with high case-fatality among severe cases. In 2016, Brazil had sylvatic yellow fever outbreaks with more
Ferreira FCDSL +2 more
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Basic reproduction number and effective reproduction number for North Cyprus for fighting Covid-19
Қарағанды университетінің хабаршысы. Математика сериясы, 2020 The aim of this paper is to show how North Cyprus fought with Covid-19 by using R0 and Rt, as herd immunity. For that purpose, we used a SEIR model for basic reproduction number, R0, and calculated Rt values by using R0 values. North Cyprus is the first
Evren Hincal +2 more
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