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Compartmental pandemic models have become a significant tool in the battle against disease outbreaks. Despite this, pandemic models sometimes require extensive modification to accurately reflect the actual epidemic condition.
W. K. Wong, Filbert H. Juwono
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Estimated effects on effective reproduction number with specific policies.
Estimated effects on effective reproduction number with specific policies.
Ping-Chen Chung (2245900) +1 more
core +1 more source
Public health interventions have been implemented to mitigate the spread of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Ontario, Canada; however, the quantification of their effectiveness remains to be done and is important to determine if some of the social ...
Jianhong Wu +4 more
doaj +1 more source
Incorporating testing volume into estimation of effective reproduction number dynamics
Branching process inspired models are widely used to estimate the effective reproduction number -- a useful summary statistic describing an infectious disease outbreak -- using counts of new cases.
Goldstein IH, Wakefield J, Minin VM.
europepmc +1 more source
The basic reproduction number of vector-borne plant virus epidemics [PDF]
The basic reproduction number R0 is a key parameter in plant disease epidemiology, which largely determines whether or not an epidemic will occur in a plant population.
Van den Bosch, Frank +5 more
core +1 more source
Effects of Demographic and Weather Parameters on COVID-19 Basic Reproduction Number [PDF]
It is hard to overstate the importance of a timely prediction of the COVID-19 pandemic progression. Yet, this is not possible without a comprehensive understanding of environmental factors that may affect the infection transmissibility. Studies addressing parameters that may influence COVID-19 progression relied on either the total numbers of detected ...
Igor Salom +5 more
openaire +3 more sources
The estimation of the effective reproductive number from disease outbreak data
We consider a single outbreak susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model and corresponding estimation procedures for the effective reproductive number $\mathcal{R}(t)$. We discuss the estimation of the underlying SIR parameters with a generalized least squares (GLS) estimation technique.
Ariel Cintrón-Arias +4 more
openaire +4 more sources
Analysis of SVEIL Model of Tuberculosis Disease Spread with Imperfect Vaccination
This study proposes a SVEIL model of tuberculosis disease spread with imperfect vaccination. Susceptible individuals can receive imperfect vaccination, but over the time the vaccine efficacy will decrease.
Handika Lintang Saputra +2 more
doaj +1 more source
Early phylogenetic estimate of the effective reproduction number of SARS‐CoV‐2 [PDF]
Abstract To reconstruct the evolutionary dynamics of the 2019 novel‐coronavirus recently causing an outbreak in Wuhan, China, 52 SARS‐CoV‐2 genomes available on 4 February 2020 at Global Initiative on Sharing All Influenza Data were analyzed.
Lai, Alessia +4 more
openaire +2 more sources
Estimating the Transmissibility of Mumps: A Modelling Study in Wuhan City, China
Despite the adoption of a national immunization program in China, the incidence of mumps remains high. This study aimed to describe the epidemiological characteristics, including the time, region, occupation, and age, of mumps in Wuhan from 2005 to 2018 ...
Ying Peng +20 more
doaj +1 more source

