Results 51 to 60 of about 1,411,342 (269)

Improving the estimation of the COVID-19 effective reproduction number using nowcasting [PDF]

Statistical Methods in Medical Research, 2021
As the interactions between people increases, the impending menace of COVID-19 outbreaks materializes, and there is an inclination to apply lockdowns. In this context, it is essential to have easy-to-use indicators for people to employ as a reference. The effective reproduction number of confirmed positives, Rt, fulfills such a role.
openaire   +3 more sources

Analysis of SVEIL Model of Tuberculosis Disease Spread with Imperfect Vaccination

JTAM (Jurnal Teori dan Aplikasi Matematika), 2023
This study proposes a SVEIL model of tuberculosis disease spread with imperfect vaccination. Susceptible individuals can receive imperfect vaccination, but over the time the vaccine efficacy will decrease.
Handika Lintang Saputra, Isnani Darti, Agus Suryanto   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

From regional pulse vaccination to global disease eradication: insights from a mathematical model of Poliomyelitis [PDF]

, 2014
Mass-vaccination campaigns are an important strategy in the global fight against poliomyelitis and measles. The large-scale logistics required for these mass immunisation campaigns magnifies the need for research into the effectiveness and optimal ...
AJ Terry, AL Lloyd, B Alyward, B Shulgin, Cameron J. Browne, CC Chicone, CJ Browne, DD Bainov, DD Bainov, DD Bainov, DJD Earn, DM Morens, HR Thieme, J Burton, J Liu, JM Heffernan, KR Yameogo, L Bourouiba, LS Liebovitch, Lydia Bourouiba, M Kirkilionis, ME Birmingham, N Bacaer, N Bacaer, N Bacaër, P Driessche van den, PEM Fine, R Breban, Robert J. Smith, S Zipursky, V Lakshmikantham, W Wang, X Meng, X-Q Zhao, Y Xiao, YP Yang, Z Agur   +36 more
core   +2 more sources

Complex responses to movement-based disease control: when livestock trading helps [PDF]

, 2017
Livestock disease controls are often linked to movements between farms, for example, via quarantine and pre- or post-movement testing. Designing effective controls, therefore, benefits from accurate assessment of herd-to-herd transmission.
Hutchings, Michael R., Marion, Glenn, Matthews, Louise, MCneilly, Tom N., Prentice, Jamie C.   +4 more
core   +3 more sources

Estimating the Transmissibility of Mumps: A Modelling Study in Wuhan City, China

Frontiers in Medicine, 2021
Despite the adoption of a national immunization program in China, the incidence of mumps remains high. This study aimed to describe the epidemiological characteristics, including the time, region, occupation, and age, of mumps in Wuhan from 2005 to 2018 ...
Ying Peng, Tianlong Yang, Yuanzhao Zhu, Qingqing Hu, Yao Wang, Zeyu Zhao, Jia Rui, Shengnan Lin, Xingchun Liu, Jingwen Xu, Meng Yang, Bin Deng, Jiefeng Huang, Weikang Liu, Li Luo, Chan Liu, Zhuoyang Li, Peihua Li, Deguang Kong, Xiaobing Yang, Tianmu Chen   +20 more
doaj   +1 more source

Seasonality effects on dengue: basic reproduction number, sensitivity analysis and optimal control [PDF]

Mathematical Methods in the Applied Sciences, 2014
Dengue is a vector‐borne disease transmitted from an infected human to an Aedes mosquito, during a blood meal. Dengue is still a major public health problem. A model for the disease transmission is presented, composed by human and mosquitoes compartments. The aim is to simulate the effects of seasonality, on the vectorial capacity and, consequently, on
Rodrigues, Helena Sofia, Monteiro, M. Teresa T., Torres, Delfim F. M.   +2 more
openaire   +4 more sources

Characterizing the transmission potential of zoonotic infections from minor outbreaks. [PDF]

, 2015
The transmission potential of a novel infection depends on both the inherent transmissibility of a pathogen, and the level of susceptibility in the host population.
Edmunds, W John, Kucharski, Adam J
core   +1 more source

Qualitative assessment of the role of public health education program on HIV transmission dynamics [PDF]

, 2010
© The author 2010. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the Institute of Mathematics and its Applications. All rights reserved.This paper presents a nonlinear deterministic model for assessing the impact of public health education campaign ...
Gumel, AB, Hussaini, N, Winter, M
core   +1 more source

Control measures during the COVID-19 outbreak reduced the transmission of hand, foot, and mouth disease

Journal of Safety Science and Resilience, 2021
Control measures during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak may have limited the spread of infectious diseases. This study aimed to analyze the impact of COVID-19 on the spread of hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) in China. A mathematical
Yan Niu, Li Luo, Jia Rui, Shiting Yang, Bin Deng, Zeyu Zhao, Shengnan Lin, Jingwen Xu, Yuanzhao Zhu, Yao Wang, Meng Yang, Xingchun Liu, Tianlong Yang, Weikang Liu, Peihua Li, Zhuoyang Li, Chan Liu, Jiefeng Huang, Tianmu Chen   +18 more
doaj   +1 more source

The estimation of the effective reproductive number from disease outbreak data

Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering, 2009
We consider a single outbreak susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model and corresponding estimation procedures for the effective reproductive number $\mathcal{R}(t)$. We discuss the estimation of the underlying SIR parameters with a generalized least squares (GLS) estimation technique.
Ariel Cintrón-Arias, Carlos Castillo-Chávez, Luís M. A. Bettencourt, Alun L. Lloyd, H. T. Banks   +4 more
openaire   +4 more sources