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Data from the GIPEyOP online election poll for the 2015 Spanish General election. [PDF]
The general elections of 2015 in Spain took place in the middle of the Great Recession after several years of austerity economic policies. This election caused a political earthquake that shook the Spanish party system.
José M. Pavía +3 more
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الانتخابات الأمريكية لعام 2020م «دراسة في استطلاعات الرأي العام الأمريكي» The American Election of 2020 «A Study of the American Public Opinions Polls» [PDF]
على الرغم من التجديد الانتخابي للديمقراطية الأمريكية من خلال إجراء الانتخابات الرئاسية بصورة دورية ومنتظمة كل أربع سنوات استنادًا إلى أسس نظام الحكم الأمريكي؛ فإنَّ عملية استطلاع الرأي العام الأمريكي حول توقعات نتائج الانتخابات وأي المرشحين أقرب إلى ...
لارا حسين علي البدري
doaj +1 more source
The third-person perception phenomenon can consistently be found in opinion poll news, but it remains unknown what determines the degree of the third-person perception (TPP) about specific election poll news.
Shin-Il Moon, Yunjin Choi, Sungeun Chung
doaj +1 more source
The Accuracy of Pre-Election Polling of German General Elections [PDF]
Pre-election polls are the most prominent type of surveys. As with any other survey, estimates are only of interest if they do not deviate significantly from the true state of nature. Even though pre-election polls in Germany as well as in other countries repeatedly show noticeably inaccurate results, their failure appears to be quickly forgotten.
Schnell, Rainer, Noack, Marcel
openaire +4 more sources
The Third and First-Person Effects of Election Polling News Through Emotions
In this study, we examine how the third- and first-person perceptions of election polling news are linked to voters’ political behaviors through anxiety and pride.
Hyunjung Kim
doaj +1 more source
Method to allocate voting resources with unequal ballots and/or education
Apportionment in election systems refers to determination of the number of voting resources (poll books, poll workers, or voting machines) needed to ensure that all voters can expect to wait no longer than an appropriate amount, even the voter who waits ...
Theodore T. Allen +3 more
doaj +1 more source
Why polls fail to predict elections [PDF]
AbstractIn the past decade we have witnessed the failure of traditional polls in predicting presidential election outcomes across the world. To understand the reasons behind these failures we analyze the raw data of a trusted pollster which failed to predict, along with the rest of the pollsters, the surprising 2019 presidential election in Argentina ...
Zhenkun Zhou +4 more
openaire +4 more sources
This study evaluates the impact of campaign propaganda on both the outcome of the 2015 presidential poll and post-election governance in Nigeria. It specifically analyses how ethno-religious campaign messages of the two major political parties determined
Aloysius-Michaels Okolie +2 more
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Forecasting Election Polls with Spin Systems [PDF]
We show that the problem of political forecasting, i.e, predicting the result of elections and referendums, can be mapped to finding the ground state configuration of a classical spin system. Depending on the required prediction, this spin system can be a combination of XY, Ising and vector Potts models, always with two-spin interactions, magnetic ...
Rubén Ibarrondo +2 more
openaire +2 more sources
FIRST EXIT POLL IN SERBIA: THE CASE OF VOŽDOVAC
In this paper we will present the results and analysis of the first exit poll that has been done in Serbia, or more precisely, in Belgrade municipality of Voždovac.
Unknown
doaj +1 more source

