Results 21 to 30 of about 2,273 (264)

Forecasting elections in Europe: Synthetic models

open access: yesResearch & Politics, 2015
Scientific work on national election forecasting has become most developed for the United States case, where three dominant approaches can be identified: Structuralists, Aggregators, and Synthesizers.
Michael S. Lewis-Beck   +1 more
doaj   +1 more source

Consensus Formation and Change are Enhanced by Neutrality

open access: yesAdvanced Science, EarlyView.
Neutral agents are shown to enhance both the formation and overturning of consensus in collective decision‐making. A general mathematical model and experiments with locusts and humans reveal that neutrality enables robust consensus via simple interactions and accelerates consensus change by reducing effective population size.
Andrei Sontag   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Pollster problems in the 2016 US presidential election: vote intention, vote prediction

open access: yesQOE-IJES, 2020
In recent US presidential elections, there has been considerable focus on how well public opinion can forecast the outcome, and 2016 proved no exception.
Natalie Jackson   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

How does the Kids SIPsmartER program impact the sugar‐sweetened beverage intake of students: An investigation beyond total treatment effect in randomized controlled trial

open access: yesAmerican Journal of Agricultural Economics, EarlyView.
Abstract This study develops and empirically estimates a structural framework to decompose the causal pathways of multilevel behavioral interventions targeting adolescent health behaviors. We apply this framework to the Kids SIPsmartER (KSS) program, a 6‐month, school‐based intervention evaluated through a clustered randomized controlled trial in rural
Naveen Abedin   +5 more
wiley   +1 more source

Social media popularity and election results: A study of the 2016 Taiwanese general election.

open access: yesPLoS ONE, 2018
This paper investigates the relationship between candidates' online popularity and election results, as a step towards creating a model to forecast the results of Taiwanese elections even in the absence of reliable opinion polls on a district-by-district
Xiaodong Zhang
doaj   +1 more source

Text Mining and Sentiment Analysis of Newspaper Headlines

open access: yesInformation, 2021
Text analytics are well-known in the modern era for extracting information and patterns from text. However, no study has attempted to illustrate the pattern and priorities of newspaper headlines in Bangladesh using a combination of text analytics ...
Arafat Hossain   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

The Politics of Framing the Student Problem: Inquiries Into Australian Civics Education, 2006–2024

open access: yesAustralian Journal of Social Issues, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Recurring debates about civics, the kinds of history that should, and should not, be taught in school, and ‘standards debates’ about the ‘basics’ typically follow on the heels of recurring moral panics about the ‘declining’ state of ‘our’ education system.
Patrick O'Keeffe   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

A cryptographic-inspired credibility score integrated with deep learning for reliable election poll forecasting

open access: yesDiscover Artificial Intelligence
Election polling has become a critical analytical domain for understanding voter behavior, forecasting electoral outcomes, and guiding strategic political decision-making.
Dipayan Roy   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

Unravelling the Referendum: An Analysis of the 2023 Australian Voice to Parliament Referendum Outcomes Across Capital Cities

open access: yesAustralian Journal of Social Issues, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT The 2023 Australian Voice to Parliament Referendum presented a pivotal moment in the nation's democratic landscape. Despite support for Indigenous well‐being, the referendum did not secure the necessary approval, prompting extensive analysis of its outcome.
Scott Baum, William Mitchell
wiley   +1 more source

Stakeholder Perspectives on Therapeutic and Safe Building Design in Residential Care

open access: yesAustralian Journal of Social Issues, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Residential care is a form of out‐of‐home care that plays a critical role in supporting vulnerable young people in Australia. However, there is an evidence gap regarding the built environment in this context. This research aimed to explore the perspectives of key stakeholders in residential care in Victoria, Australia, regarding design that ...
Carmen Schroder   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

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