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A Stochastic Epidemic Model [PDF]

open access: yesThe Egyptian Statistical Journal, 1982
In this work, the stochastic epidemic model to be studied assumes just two types of individual in a population of size N, the population of infective persons of size I(t) and the susceptible population of size N-I(t) at any time t.
Shoukry E. M.
doaj   +3 more sources

Simulation and forecasting of the influenza epidemic process using seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average model

open access: yesРадіоелектронні і комп'ютерні системи, 2021
Today's global COVID-19 pandemic has affected the spread of influenza. COVID-19 and influenza are respiratory infections and have several similar symptoms. They are, however, caused by various viruses; there are also some differences in the categories of
Dmytro Chumachenko   +5 more
doaj   +1 more source

Modeling infectious epidemics [PDF]

open access: yesNature Methods, 2020
“Every day sadder and sadder news of its increase. In the City died this week 7496; and of them, 6102 of the plague.
Ottar N, Bjørnstad   +3 more
openaire   +2 more sources

Comparative study of linear regression and SIR models of COVID-19 propagation in Ukraine before vaccination

open access: yesРадіоелектронні і комп'ютерні системи, 2021
The global COVID-19 pandemic began in December 2019 and spread rapidly around the world. Worldwide, more than 230 million people fell ill, 4.75 million cases were fatal.
Alireza Mohammadi   +4 more
doaj   +1 more source

Epidemic Models with Varying Infectivity [PDF]

open access: yesSIAM Journal on Applied Mathematics, 2021
We introduce an epidemic model with varying infectivity and general exposed and infectious periods, where the infectivity of each individual is a random function of the elapsed time since infection, those function being i.i.d. for the various individuals in the population.
Forien, Raphaël   +2 more
openaire   +5 more sources

On the Impact of Quarantine Policies and Recurrence Rate in Epidemic Spreading Using a Spatial Agent-Based Model

open access: yesMathematics, 2023
Pandemic outbreaks often determine swift global reaction, proven by for example the more recent COVID-19, H1N1, Ebola, or SARS outbreaks. Therefore, policy makers now rely more than ever on computational tools to establish various protection policies ...
Alexandru Topîrceanu
doaj   +1 more source

Modeling the Dementia Epidemic [PDF]

open access: yesCNS Neuroscience & Therapeutics, 2011
SUMMARYThe incidence of dementia increases steeply with age in older people, although from the tenth decade the slope may be smoother, perhaps reflecting different pathological processes in the oldest old. The prevalence depends upon interaction of age with other factors (e.g., comorbidities, genetic or environmental factors) that in turn are subject ...
T A, Treves, A D, Korczyn
openaire   +2 more sources

Defense strategy of industrial control worm based on SEIPQR model

open access: yes网络与信息安全学报, 2022
Computer viruses keep evolving with the development of society and progress of technologies, and they become more complex and hidden.The worm virus is the earliest computer virus, which has evolved to an industrial control worm virus and caused a great ...
Jie PAN, Lan YE, He ZHAO, Xinlei ZHANG
doaj   +3 more sources

MATHEMATICAL AND COMPUTER MODELS OF THE COVID-19 EPIDEMIC

open access: yesScientific Journal of Astana IT University, 2022
The COVID-19 epidemic has gone down in history as an emergency of international importance. Currently, the number of people infected with coronavirus around the world continues to grow, and modeling such a complex system as the spread of infection is one
Indira Uvaliуeva   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

A DYNAMIC SIR MODEL FOR THE SPREAD OF NOVEL CORONAVIRUS DISEASE 2019 (COVID-19) IN MALAYSIA [PDF]

open access: yesMalaysian Journal of Computing, 2023
The emergence of the first coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) case in Malaysia has increased the number of infected cases. Hence, this study proposes a Susceptible-Infected-Recovery (SIR) epidemiological model of the COVID-19 epidemic to portray the ...
Nur Aziean Mohd Idris   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

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