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Behavior Model Calibration for Epidemic Simulations

International Joint Conference on Autonomous Agents and Multiagent Systems, 2018
Computational epidemiologists frequently employ large-scale agent-based simulations of human populations to study disease outbreaks and assess intervention strategies. The agents used in such simulations rarely capture the real-world decision-making of human beings.
Meghendra Singh   +3 more
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Modeling and simulation of local epidemics

Proceedings of the 2007 international conference on Computer systems and technologies - CompSysTech '07, 2007
A branching process model of a local epidemic is briefly discussed and some useful expressions are given for the fundamental characteristics of the epidemic outbreaks. Starting from the model, a program tool (written in SIMULA) is described for simulating small outbreaks of a contagious disease in a large susceptible population.
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Simulation of an epidemic

Proceedings of the 6th conference on Winter simulation, 1973
Schistosomiasis is a vector-borne parasitic epidemic currently affecting about 250 million people and constitutes a serious public health problem in many countries. In Egypt alone, the estimated annual loss due to this disease is about d560 million dollars.The life-cycle of schistosomes involves two incubation periods, one in human beings, another in ...
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Simulation of models of enteric virus epidemics

International Journal of Bio-Medical Computing, 1971
Abstract Various extensions of a stochastic model illustrating the spread of virus epidemics have been simulated. As assumptions and hypotheses concerning the basic model have been added and tested, the computer programs designed to run the simulation have increased in complexity.
L C, Gatewood   +4 more
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Mathematical Simulations of the Pertussis Epidemic in England [PDF]

open access: possibleCEUR Workshop Proceedings, Vol-3777: Proceedings of the 4th International Workshop of IT-professionals on Artificial Intelligence (ProfIT AI 2024) 2024
The resurgence of pertussis (whooping cough) becomes a serious problem in many countries including the UK. Differentiation of the accumulated monthly numbers of pertussis cases registered in England in 2023 and 2024 revealed two waves of the epidemic before and after October 2023.
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Simulation of Epidemics

1974
Scientists can be distinguished from others who try to improve the human condition by their striving to understand thoroughly how something works. People in many pursuits work to control outcomes, while the scientist works to understand, often reducing a phenomenon to its parts, experimenting with the parts until they are understood, and then ...
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Integrating predictive analytics into a spatiotemporal epidemic simulation

2015 IEEE Conference on Visual Analytics Science and Technology (VAST), 2015
The Epidemic Simulation System (EpiSimS) is a scalable, complex modeling tool for analyzing disease within the United States. Due to its high input dimensionality, time requirements, and resource constraints, simulating over the entire parameter space is unfeasible.
Chris Bryan   +3 more
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A computational paradigm for the simulation of complex epidemic diseases

Proceedings of the Seventh Symposium on Information and Communication Technology, 2016
In this work, we present a paradigm to build a decision support tool which enable users to "play" with the model, change the input parameters, test different intervention scenarios,... in case of infectious diseases. The proposed paradigm involves modeling of closed to realistic social contact networks through which the disease transmissions take place
Xuan Tuan Le, Marc Bui, Jean Marie Cohen
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Simulation-based Bayesian inference for epidemic models

Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, 2014
zbMATH Open Web Interface contents unavailable due to conflicting licenses.
Trevelyan J. McKinley   +3 more
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A Random Walk Epidemic Simulation

Journal of the American Statistical Association, 1973
Abstract An epidemic simulation is presented in which the population occupies a rectangular grid and individuals or germs move about the grid using a two-dimensional random walk. It is shown that the model can simulate the Providence measles data and also a distemper epidemic in ferrets.
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