Dynamics of multi-stage infections on networks [PDF]
This paper investigates the dynamics of infectious diseases with a nonexponentially distributed infectious period. This is achieved by considering a multistage infection model on networks. Using pairwise approximation with a standard closure, a number of
AJ Black +59 more
core +2 more sources
Epidemic Dynamics of Interacting Two Particle Species on Scale-free Networks [PDF]
We study the non-equilibrium phase transition in a model for epidemic spreading on scale-free networks. The model consists of two particle species $A$ and $B$, and the coupling between them is taken to be asymmetric; $A$ induces $B$ while $B$ suppresses $
Ahn, Yong-Yeol +3 more
core +1 more source
Simulating influenza epidemics with waning vaccine immunity
Abstract Observational studies indicate that vaccine-induced immunity can decline over time. However, few researchers have incorporated this kind of waning effect into their virus spread models. In this study, we simulate an influenza epidemic that considers the effects of waning immunity by fitting epidemiological models to ...
Chun-Miin (Jimmy) Chen, Alia C. Stanciu
openaire +3 more sources
Analysis, Simulation and Control of a New Measles Epidemic Model [PDF]
In this paper the problem of modeling and controlling the measles epidemic spread is faced. A new model is proposed and analysed; besides the categories usually considered in measles modeling, the susceptible, the exposed, the infected, the removed and,
DI GIAMBERARDINO, Paolo +1 more
core +1 more source
COVID-19 Spread Simulation in a Crowd Intelligence Network
In this paper, the Crowd Intelligence Network Model is applied to the simulation of epidemic spread. This model combines the multi-layer coupling network model and the two-stage feedback member model to study the epidemic spread mechanisms under multiple-
Linzhi Shan, Hongbo Sun
doaj +1 more source
Predicting the size and probability of epidemics in a population with heterogeneous infectiousness and susceptibility [PDF]
We analytically address disease outbreaks in large, random networks with heterogeneous infectivity and susceptibility. The transmissibility $T_{uv}$ (the probability that infection of $u$ causes infection of $v$) depends on the infectivity of $u$ and the
G. Chowell +7 more
core +1 more source
A mathematically assisted reconstruction of the initial focus of the yellow fever outbreak in Buenos Aires (1871) [PDF]
We discuss the historic mortality record corresponding to the initial focus of the yellow fever epidemic outbreak registered in Buenos Aires during the year 1871 as compared to simulations of a stochastic population dynamics model.
Fernández, M. L. +3 more
core +3 more sources
Rapid simulation of spatial epidemics: A spectral method [PDF]
Spatial structure and hence the spatial position of host populations plays a vital role in the spread of infection. In the majority of situations, it is only possible to predict the spatial spread of infection using simulation models, which can be computationally demanding especially for large population sizes.
Samuel P.C. Brand +2 more
openaire +2 more sources
Estimation of COVID-19 Transmission and Advice on Public Health Interventions
At the end of 2019, an outbreak of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) made a profound impact on the country’s production and people’s daily lives. Up until now, COVID-19 has not been fully controlled all over the world.
Qingqing Ji +5 more
doaj +1 more source
War-driven displacement and COVID-19 in Poland: simulation study using LSTM model
Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine led to Europe’s largest and fastest displacement since World War II. Poland received the largest inflow. Rapid movement can affect COVID-19 spread and stress testing, reporting, and vaccination systems.
Mykola Butkevych +4 more
doaj +1 more source

