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Seismogenic lavas and explosive eruption forecasting
Nature, 2008Volcanic dome-building episodes commonly exhibit acceleration in both effusive discharge rate and seismicity before explosive eruptions. This should enable the application of material failure forecasting methods to eruption forecasting. To date, such methods have been based exclusively on the seismicity of the country rock.
Y, Lavallée +7 more
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Towards scientific forecasting of magmatic eruptions
Nature Reviews Earth & Environment, 2023Forecasting eruptions is a fundamental goal of volcanology. However,difficulties in identifying eruptive precursors, fragmented approachesand lack of resources make eruption forecasting difficult to achieve.In this Review, we explore the first-order scientific approaches thatare essential to progress towards forecasting the time and location ofmagmatic
Valerio Acocella +5 more
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Seismological Research Letters
Anticipating volcanic eruptions remains a challenge despite significant scientific advancements, leading to substantial human and economic losses. Traditional approaches, like volcano alert levels, provide current volcanic states but do not always ...
L. Cabrera +9 more
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Anticipating volcanic eruptions remains a challenge despite significant scientific advancements, leading to substantial human and economic losses. Traditional approaches, like volcano alert levels, provide current volcanic states but do not always ...
L. Cabrera +9 more
semanticscholar +1 more source
Journal of Structural Geology, 2019
In this study a relation is established between differential stress (σd), driving magma pressure ratio (R′) and tensile strength (T) of a rock mass in a volcanic system. It is shown that in σd vs.
Sivaji Lahiri, S. Bhatt, M. A. Mamtani
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In this study a relation is established between differential stress (σd), driving magma pressure ratio (R′) and tensile strength (T) of a rock mass in a volcanic system. It is shown that in σd vs.
Sivaji Lahiri, S. Bhatt, M. A. Mamtani
semanticscholar +1 more source
Forecast of volcanic eruptions by chemical methods
Bulletin Volcanologique, 1975From the magmatic emanations differentiation point of view it is possible to calculate some ratios such as F/CO2, Cl/CO2, SO2/CO2, SO2/H2S, H2S/CO2 and CO2/N2 in the tumarolic gases for the forecasting of volcanic activity. In order to predict the cruptions of a volcano it is needed to select several fumaroles or hot springs having different regimes of
I. Iwasaki +3 more
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Automatic Forecasting of Volcanoes Eruption Time
2022 16th International Conference on Ubiquitous Information Management and Communication (IMCOM), 2022Abdulrahman Hussien Mustafa +4 more
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Forecasting Volcanic Eruptive Disasters
1988Volcanic hazards are of various kinds. Forecasts and mitigation are therefore different. The most obvious risks are those resulting from lava flows as at Paricutin, for instance, or due to explosions (Mt. St. Helens). But there are others, less known to the public at large, although they occur more frequently: i.e.
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Eruption forecasting at Kilauea Volcano, Hawaii
Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, 1984Data from a network of seismometers, a tiltmeter and the pattern of summit inflation between eruptions have made qualitative eruption forecasting possible on Kilauea volcano for over 20 years. This paper formulates quantitative forecasting by calculating the probability of an eruption based on current levels of tilt, tilt rate, seismicity, and ...
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Real-time lava flow forecasting during the 2022 Mauna Loa eruption response
Bulletin of VolcanologyD. Hyman +13 more
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