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Economic Outlook, 2020
As most European countries are implementing partial or full lockdowns to prevent the spread of the coronavirus, the eurozone economy faces a collapse in economic activity in the short term.
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As most European countries are implementing partial or full lockdowns to prevent the spread of the coronavirus, the eurozone economy faces a collapse in economic activity in the short term.
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London Business School Review, 2015
The biggest threat to the EU is contractionary fiscal policy, claim Richard Portes and Lucrezia ...
PORTES, Richard, REICHLIN, Lucrezia
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The biggest threat to the EU is contractionary fiscal policy, claim Richard Portes and Lucrezia ...
PORTES, Richard, REICHLIN, Lucrezia
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Abstract In this paper, the monetary transmission mechanism within the European Monetary Union is investigated. The impulse response functions and forecast error variance decompositions of a structural vector error correction model (SVECM) are compared with those of a New Keynesian theoretical model.
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Economic Outlook, 2022
We have lowered our Q1 eurozone growth forecast owing to the deteriorating health situation and the emergence of the Omicron variant. But as we expect the economy to recover lost ground by mid‐year, we see the impact over 2022 growth as very mild. Moreover, monthly data for Q4 last year were a touch better than expected, resulting in a marginal upgrade
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We have lowered our Q1 eurozone growth forecast owing to the deteriorating health situation and the emergence of the Omicron variant. But as we expect the economy to recover lost ground by mid‐year, we see the impact over 2022 growth as very mild. Moreover, monthly data for Q4 last year were a touch better than expected, resulting in a marginal upgrade
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Economic Outlook, 2017
All the signs are that Q2 will see Eurozone GDP growth exceed Q1's well above‐trend rise of 0.6%. In addition to the business surveys continuing to rise, quarterly industrial production and retail sales growth also probably accelerated in Q2, closing the previous gap between the surveys and hard data. This points to a robust rise in GDP of 0.7% to 0.8%
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All the signs are that Q2 will see Eurozone GDP growth exceed Q1's well above‐trend rise of 0.6%. In addition to the business surveys continuing to rise, quarterly industrial production and retail sales growth also probably accelerated in Q2, closing the previous gap between the surveys and hard data. This points to a robust rise in GDP of 0.7% to 0.8%
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L'Europe en Formation, 2011
Résumé La crise de la zone euro ne pourra s’estomper avant que l’Union monétaire européenne ne démontre clairement sa viabilité. Ceci a diverses implications, notamment la soutenabilité des finances publiques. Des règles financières publiques européennes pourraient être un outil utile dans l’arsenal de la gouvernance économique, pour s’assurer que les ...
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Résumé La crise de la zone euro ne pourra s’estomper avant que l’Union monétaire européenne ne démontre clairement sa viabilité. Ceci a diverses implications, notamment la soutenabilité des finances publiques. Des règles financières publiques européennes pourraient être un outil utile dans l’arsenal de la gouvernance économique, pour s’assurer que les ...
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2014
Topical and timely, this book offers an economically informed constitutional analysis on European responses to the crisis. It discusses the longer-term proposals on the table including rescue measures and stability mechanisms, as well as the tightening of European economic governance.
Tuori, Kaarlo, TUORI, Klaus
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Topical and timely, this book offers an economically informed constitutional analysis on European responses to the crisis. It discusses the longer-term proposals on the table including rescue measures and stability mechanisms, as well as the tightening of European economic governance.
Tuori, Kaarlo, TUORI, Klaus
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2023
In 2008–13 Italy suffered a double crisis of long-term economic decline and short-term credibility, amplified by the international situation that endangered the stability of the whole Eurozone. Italian public debt and bonds were the pivotal elements of the Italian crisis and the crucial connection between it and the Eurozone crisis.
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In 2008–13 Italy suffered a double crisis of long-term economic decline and short-term credibility, amplified by the international situation that endangered the stability of the whole Eurozone. Italian public debt and bonds were the pivotal elements of the Italian crisis and the crucial connection between it and the Eurozone crisis.
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The Eurozone in the Current Crisis
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2010This paper contrasts the United States and European situations during the crisis and examines how much of the crisis has been imported by Europe from the US. The paper argues that Europe never had a chance to avoid contagion from the US. It also documents the relatively limited reaction of both monetary and fiscal authorities.
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Eurozone: The untold economics [PDF]
This paper dwells on the Eurozone woes and addresses the origins of the transition from a fictitious boom to a painful bust by unravelling (i) the supply-side structural imbalances that formed the core-periphery economic divide, and (ii) the necessity of the periphery's sovereign debt to finance imports from the export-led core.
John Hatgioannides +2 more
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