Results 21 to 30 of about 973,446 (295)

Bayesian methods for analyzing true-and-error models [PDF]

open access: yesJudgment and Decision Making, 2018
Birnbaum and Quispe-Torreblanca (2018) evaluated a set of six models developed under true-and-error theory against data in which people made choices in repeated gambles.
Michael D. Lee
doaj   +2 more sources

Investment choice under uncertainty: A review essay [PDF]

open access: yesEkonomski Anali, 2005
An investment opportunity whose return is perfectly predictable, hardly exists at all. Instead, investor makes his decisions under conditions of uncertainty.
Trifunović Dejan
doaj   +1 more source

The Predictive Utility of Generalized Expected Utility Theories [PDF]

open access: yesEconometrica, 1994
Summary: Many alternative theories have been proposed to explain violations of expected utility (EU) theory observed in experiments. Several recent studies test some of these alternative theories against each other. Formal tests used to judge the theories usually count the number of responses consistent with the theory, ignoring systematic variation in
Harless, David W, Camerer, Colin F
openaire   +2 more sources

Expected utility theory, Jeffrey’s decision theory, and the paradoxes [PDF]

open access: yes, 2020
In Richard Bradley’s book, Decision Theory with a Human Face, we have selected two themes for discussion. The first is the Bolker-Jeffrey theory of decision, which the book uses throughout as a tool to reorganize the whole field of decision theory, and ...
Baccelli, Jean, Mongin, Philippe
core  

Information integration in risky choice : identification and stability [PDF]

open access: yes, 2011
How is information integrated across the attributes of an option when making risky choices? In most descriptive models of decision under risk, information about risk, and reward is combined multiplicatively (e.g., expected value; expected utility ...
Stewart, Neil
core   +1 more source

Network approach for decision making under risk-How do we choose among probabilistic options with the same expected value? [PDF]

open access: yesPLoS ONE, 2018
Conventional decision theory suggests that under risk, people choose option(s) by maximizing the expected utility. However, theories deal ambiguously with different options that have the same expected utility.
Wei Pan, Yi-Shin Chen
doaj   +1 more source

A teoria da perspectiva e as mudanças de preferência no mainstream: um prospecto Lakatoseano

open access: yesBrazilian Journal of Political Economy, 2010
The theory of the perspective and the changes of preference in the mainstream: a Lakatosean prospect. For many decades over the 20th Century, the mainstream of economics adopted a normative and axiomatic theory of individual behavior in which maximizing ...
Bruno Berger, Huáscar Fialho Pessali
doaj   +1 more source

The SEV-SV Model—Applications in Portfolio Optimization

open access: yesRisks, 2023
This paper introduces and studies a new family of diffusion models for stock prices with applications in portfolio optimization. The diffusion model combines (stochastic) elasticity of volatility (EV) and stochastic volatility (SV) to create the SEV-SV ...
Marcos Escobar-Anel, Weili Fan
doaj   +1 more source

A Multiple Criteria Decision Making Method Based on Relative Value Distances

open access: yesFoundations of Computing and Decision Sciences, 2015
This paper proposes a new multiple criteria decision-making method called ERVD (election based on relative value distances). The s-shape value function is adopted to replace the expected utility function to describe the risk-averse and risk-seeking ...
Shyur Huan-jyh   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

Success-First Decision Theories [PDF]

open access: yes, 2018
The standard formulation of Newcomb's problem compares evidential and causal conceptions of expected utility, with those maximizing evidential expected utility tending to end up far richer.
222Baratgin   +105 more
core   +1 more source

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