Results 11 to 20 of about 151,895 (237)

On Holt Winters Algorithm with Decomposition for Forecasting Financial Time Series with Complex Seasonal Patterns [PDF]

open access: yesMaǧallaẗ Al-Buḥūṯ Al-Mālīyyaẗ wa Al-Tiğāriyyaẗ
One of the most important challenges when analyzing and forecasting the time series is the stability of the series and determining components of the time series such as trend and seasonal.
منى نزيه على عبد البارى
doaj   +1 more source

An Improvement Single Exponential Smoothing Method for Forecasting in Time Series [PDF]

open access: yesالمجلة العراقية للعلوم الاحصائية, 2010
In this paper we describe single exponential smoothing method, which is used in time series forecasting, and suggest an improving to the single exponential smoothing method through adding the mean of the first differences for the time series for all ...
doaj   +1 more source

Prediksi Pengguna Broadband di Indonesia sampai Tahun 2024 Menggunakan Pemodelan Crisp-DM dengan Metode Decision Tree dan Algoritma ID3 Studi Kasus di BPS dan APJII

open access: yesPatria Artha Technological Journal, 2021
Indonesia is a country with a population of 270.20 million people recorded at the Central Statistics Agency in September 2020. Based on the International Telecommunication Union (ITU) reported, the United Nations (UN) body, the number of world internet ...
Nabila Rizqia Novianda   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

Uneven time series forecasting using a modified exponential smoothing method [PDF]

open access: yesE3S Web of Conferences
The article is devoted to the problem of forecasting time series with an uneven distribution of observations over time. The exponential smoothing model is used as the basic forecasting model, in which the variable weights of observations decrease ...
Mironov A.N.   +4 more
doaj   +1 more source

Enhancing Sales Forecasting Accuracy Through Optimized Holt-Winters Exponential Smoothing with Modified Improved Particle Swarm Optimization

open access: yesJurnal Nasional Pendidikan Teknik Informatika (JANAPATI), 2023
The Holt-Winters Exponential Smoothing method utilizes three smoothing parameters, namely alpha (α), beta (β), and gamma (γ), which have a significant impact on the accuracy of the forecasting process.
I Putu Susila Handika   +1 more
doaj   +1 more source

Peramalan Produksi Kelapa Sawit Menggunakan Winter's dan Pegel's Exponential Smoothing dengan Pemantauan Tracking Signal

open access: yesJambura Journal of Mathematics, 2019
Analisis data time series menggunakan metode Winter’s exponential smoothing dan Pegel’s exponential smoothing merupakan analisis data yang dipengaruhi oleh pola data musiman.
Dwi Agoes Setiawan   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

Analysis of time series for Malaysian currency exchange rate to the United States currency [PDF]

open access: yes, 2021
Currency exchange rate is one of the external factors that will affect the financial status of Malaysia. Therefore, forecasting the foreign currency exchange rate is important for the financial decision makers, bankers, academic researchers and business ...
Che Him, Norziha   +4 more
core   +1 more source

Prediction of Air Quality Based on Hybrid Grey Double Exponential Smoothing Model

open access: yesComplexity, 2020
To predict the concentration of air pollutants accurately, conformable fractional accumulation grey double exponential smoothing and adjacent accumulation grey double exponential smoothing are proposed, respectively.
Zhicun Xu, Meng Dun, Lifeng Wu
doaj   +1 more source

PREDIKSI INFLASI DI INDONESIA MENGGUNAKAN METODE MOVING AVERAGE, SINGLE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING DAN DOUBLE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING

open access: yesJurnal Lebesgue, 2020
Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk mengetahui model peramalan yang paling baik digunakan untuk meramalkan inflasi di Indonesia dengan data inflasi Januari 2015 sampai dengan Mei 2020. Penelitian ini menggunakan beberapa metode peramalan. Berdasarkan
Nugroho Arif Sudibyo   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

Determining the Timing of Investment in Mutual Fund Products using the Double Exponential Smoothing Model

open access: yesIJEBD (International Journal of Entrepreneurship and Business Development), 2021
Purpose: As we know, COVID-19 affects the economy of most of the world, one of the investment media that continues to grow is mutual fund investment. This study aims to find the right time to invest by studying data in the previous period.
Achmad Muchayan   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

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