Exponential Smoothing: A Prediction Error Decomposition Principle [PDF]
In the exponential smoothing approach to forecasting, restrictions are often imposed on the smoothing parameters which ensure that certain components are exponentially weighted averages.
Ralph D. Snyder
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Grey Double Exponential Smoothing Dengan Optimasi Levenberg-marquardt Untuk Peramalan Volume Penumpang Di Bandara Soekarno-hatta [PDF]
Aircraft ha became the best choice for long distance traveling because it has shortest traveltime than any other transportations. Moreover, in recent years, aviation industries havecompeted for providing low cost flight so that it can also be enjoyed by ...
Primandari, A. H. (Arum)
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Dry electrode technology revolutionizes battery manufacturing by eliminating toxic solvents and energy‐intensive drying. This work details two promising techniques: dry spray deposition and polymer fibrillation. How their unique solvent‐free bonding mechanisms create uniform microstructures for thicker, denser electrodes, boosting energy density and ...
Yuhao Liang +7 more
wiley +1 more source
A Pedant's Approach to Exponential Smoothing [PDF]
An approach to exponential smoothing that relies on a linear single source of error state space model is outlined. A maximum likelihood method for the estimation of associated smoothing parameters is developed. Commonly used restrictions on the smoothing
Ralph D Snyder
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Droplet Triboelectrification on Liquid‐Like Polymer Brushes
This work investigates the triboelectrification of water droplets on polymer brush‐coated surfaces exhibiting minimal contact line pinning. Such surfaces enable the systematic study of electrode patterning and controlled changes in droplet contact area.
Mohammad Soltani +5 more
wiley +1 more source
RAINFALL FORECASTING WITH AN INTERMITTENT APPROACH USING HYBRID EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING NEURAL NETWORK
Rainfall forecasting is crucial in agriculture, water resource management, urban planning, and disaster preparation. Traditional approaches fail to capture complicated and intermittent rainfall patterns.
Regita Putri Permata +2 more
doaj +1 more source
Forecasting Intraday Time Series with Multiple Seasonal Cycles Using Parsimonious Seasonal Exponential Smoothing [PDF]
This paper concerns the forecasting of seasonal intraday time series. An extension of Holt-Winters exponential smoothing has been proposed that smoothes an intraday cycle and an intraweek cycle.
James W. Taylor, Ralph D. Snyder
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Penerapan Metode Exponential Smoothing Winter dalam Sistem Informasi Pengendalian Persediaan Produk dan Bahan Baku sebuah Cafe [PDF]
Effect of fluctuations in food and beverage sales that is not uniform in a cafe can be a problem determining the raw material and raw material purchase to the supplier. This problem resulted in a surplus or shortage of raw materials. Unused raw materials
Pramita, W. (Wahyu) +1 more
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Topological van der Waals contacts represent a new class of electrodes for 2D semiconductors, enabling precise control of the Schottky barrier height (SBH) and contact resistance (RC) through interlayer distance and orbital hybridization engineering. In Se‐based transition metal dichalcogenides, these contacts achieve an ultralow SBH of 7 meV, RC of 0.
Soheil Ghods +15 more
wiley +1 more source
A View of Damped Trend as Incorporating a Tracking Signal into a State Space Model [PDF]
Damped trend exponential smoothing has previously been established as an important forecasting method. Here, it is shown to have close links to simple exponential smoothing with a smoothed error tracking signal. A special case of damped trend exponential
Anne B. Koehler, Ralph D. Snyder
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