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Sequential sampling strategy for extreme event statistics in nonlinear dynamical systems. [PDF]
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A, 2018 We develop a method for the evaluation of extreme event statistics associated with nonlinear dynamical systems, using a small number of samples. From an initial dataset of design points, we formulate a sequential strategy that provides the 'next-best ...
Mohamad MA, Sapsis TP.
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Bivariate Copula Trees for Gross Loss Aggregation with Positively Dependent Risks
Risks, 2022 We propose several numerical algorithms to compute the distribution of gross loss in a positively dependent catastrophe insurance portfolio. Hierarchical risk aggregation is performed using bivariate copula trees.
Rafał Wójcik, Charlie Wusuo Liu
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Recurrence analysis of extreme event-like data [PDF]
Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 2021 The identification of recurrences at various timescales in extreme event-like time series is challenging because of the rare occurrence of events which are separated by large temporal gaps.
A. Banerjee +11 more
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Quantification and Reduction of Uncertainty in Seismic Resilience Assessment for a Roadway Network
Infrastructures, 2023 The nation’s transportation systems are complex and are some of the highest valued and largest public assets in the United States. As a result of repeated natural hazards and their significant impact on transportation functionality and the socioeconomic ...
Vishnupriya Jonnalagadda +3 more
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Modeling Under-Reporting in Cyber Incidents
Risks, 2022 Under-reporting in cyber incidents is a well-established problem. Due to reputational risk and the consequent financial impact, a large proportion of incidents are never disclosed to the public, especially if they do not involve a breach of protected ...
Seema Sangari +2 more
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The Performance of S2S Models on Predicting the 21.7 Extreme Rainfall Event in Henan China
Atmosphere, 2022 Extreme rainfall may cause meteorological disasters and has tremendous impact on societies and economics. Assessing the capability of current dynamic models for rainfall prediction, especially extreme rainfall event prediction, at sub-seasonal to ...
Xiaojuan Wang +4 more
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Environmental Research Letters, 2021 Quantification of the contribution of atmospheric circulation to damaging extreme weather and climate events and the attribution of extreme events in the context of climate change has been gaining worldwide interest.
Yangbo Ye, Cheng Qian
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Environmental Research: Climate, 2023 As a direct consequence of extreme monsoon rainfall throughout the summer 2022 season Pakistan experienced the worst flooding in its history. We employ a probabilistic event attribution methodology as well as a detailed assessment of the dynamics to ...
Friederike E L Otto +25 more
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Innovative health professional leadership for a climate-resilient Bahamas
The Journal of Climate Change and Health, 2021 The Commonwealth of the Bahamas recognizes the reality of climate change and its disproportionate impacts on the health and welfare of small island states.
Calae D. Philippe +3 more
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Thunderstorms as extreme climate event in Serbia [PDF]
Glasnik Srpskog Geografskog Društva, 2009 Humankind has been exposed to climate extremes from the very beginning of its existence. Today, prevention and mitigation of natural catastrophes have become a priority for International Union and World Meteorological Organization. Atmospheric electrical
Anđelković Goran
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