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Extreme Value Statistics [PDF]

open access: yes, 2019
AbstractWhen studying peaks in electricity demand, we may be interested in understanding the risk of a certain large level for demand being exceeded. For example, there is potential interest in finding the probability that the electricity demand of a business or household exceeds the contractual limit.
Maria Jacob   +2 more
openaire   +1 more source

Combining large model ensembles with extreme value statistics to improve attribution statements of rare events

open access: yesWeather and Climate Extremes, 2015
Gaining a better understanding of rare weather events is a major research challenge and of crucial relevance for societal preparedness in the face of a changing climate.
Sebastian Sippel   +6 more
doaj   +1 more source

Uncertainties and discrepancies in the representation of recent storm surges in a non-tidal semi-enclosed basin: a hindcast ensemble for the Baltic Sea [PDF]

open access: yesOcean Science, 2023
Extreme sea level events, such as storm surges, pose a threat to coastlines around the globe. Many tide gauges have been measuring the sea level and recording these extreme events for decades, some for over a century.
M. Lorenz, U. Gräwe
doaj   +1 more source

Extreme Value Laws for Superstatistics

open access: yesEntropy, 2014
We study the extreme value distribution of stochastic processes modeled by superstatistics. Classical extreme value theory asserts that (under mild asymptotic independence assumptions) only three possible limit distributions are possible, namely: Gumbel,
Pau Rabassa, Christian Beck
doaj   +1 more source

Effects of stochastic parametrization on extreme value statistics [PDF]

open access: yesChaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science, 2019
Extreme geophysical events are of crucial relevance to our daily life: they threaten human lives and cause property damage. To assess the risk and reduce losses, we need to model and probabilistically predict these events. Parametrizations are computational tools used in the Earth system models, which are aimed at reproducing the impact of unresolved ...
Guannan Hu   +2 more
openaire   +3 more sources

Generalisation of Levine's prediction for the distribution of freezing temperatures of droplets: a general singular model for ice nucleation [PDF]

open access: yesAtmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 2013
Models without an explicit time dependence, called singular models, are widely used for fitting the distribution of temperatures at which water droplets freeze. In 1950 Levine developed the original singular model.
R. P. Sear
doaj   +1 more source

Vertical profiles of wind gust statistics from a regional reanalysis using multivariate extreme value theory [PDF]

open access: yesNonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 2020
Many applications require wind gust estimates at very different atmospheric height levels. For example, the renewable energy sector is interested in wind and gust predictions at the hub height of a wind power plant.
J. Steinheuer   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

A probabilistic analysis of wind gusts using extreme value statistics

open access: yesMeteorologische Zeitschrift, 2009
The spatial variability of wind gusts is probably as large as that of precipitation, but the observational weather station network is much less dense. The lack of an area-wide observational analysis hampers the forecast verification of wind gust warnings.
Petra Friederichs   +4 more
doaj   +1 more source

Extreme Values of Permutation Statistics

open access: yesThe Electronic Journal of Combinatorics
We investigate extreme values of Mahonian and Eulerian distributions arising from counting inversions and descents of random elements of finite Coxeter groups. To this end, we construct a triangular array of either distribution from a sequence of Coxeter groups with increasing ranks. To avoid degeneracy of extreme values, the number of i.i.d.
Philip Dörr, Thomas Kahle
openaire   +4 more sources

The maximum air temperature distribution in Lithuania

open access: yesLietuvos Matematikos Rinkinys, 2013
In this article authors found out function estimate of maximum air temperature distribution in Lithuania.
Arvydas Jokimaitis, Darius Petronaitis
doaj   +1 more source

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