Results 91 to 100 of about 2,079 (206)

Forecasting Corn Futures Volatility in the Presence of Long Memory, Seasonality and Structural Change [PDF]

open access: yes
Price volatility in the corn market has changed considerably globalization and stronger linkages to the energy complex. Using data from January 1989 through December 2009, we estimate and forecast the volatility in the corn market using futures daily ...
Garcia, Philip, Wang, Xiaoyang
core   +1 more source

Backtesting VaR Models: An Expected Shortfall Approach [PDF]

open access: yes
Academics and practitioners have extensively studied Value-at-Risk (VaR) to propose a unique risk management technique that generates accurate VaR estimations for long and short trading positions and for all types of financial assets.
Stavros Degiannakis, Timotheos Angelidis
core  

Investigating Inflation Dynamics and Structural Change with an Adaptive ARFIMA Approach [PDF]

open access: yes
Previous models of monthly CPI inflation time series have focused on possible regime shifts, non-linearities and the feature of long memory. This paper proposes a new time series model, named Adaptive ARFIMA; which appears well suited to describe ...
Claudio Morana, Richard T. Baille
core  

Multifractality of Deutschemark/US Dollar Exchange Rates [PDF]

open access: yes
This paper presents the first empirical investigation of the Multifractal Model of Asset Returns ("MMAR"). The MMAR, developed in Mandelbrot, Fisher, and Calvet (1997), is an alternative to ARCH-type representations for modelling temporal heterogeneity ...
Adlai Fisher   +2 more
core  

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