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Macroeconomic forecasting and macroeconomic forecasts
Voprosy EkonomikiThe specificity of macroeconomic forecasts is determined not so much by the list of predicted indicators or by mathematical tools used, but by the unavoidable human factor, which often generates great difference between forecasts made by various professionals.
S. V. Smirnov +2 more
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Microfounded Forecasting [PDF]
, 2014 In this paper, we propose a microfounded framework to investigate a panel of forecasts (e.g. model-driven or survey-based) and the possibility to improve their out-of-sample forecast performance by employing a bias-correction device. Following Patton and Timmermann (2007), we theoretically justify the modeling of forecasts as function of the ...
Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza +1 more
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Climacteric, 2015
Recent epidemiological studies from various countries point at the mounting incidence of cancer. This continuous increase in the number of cancer cases will keep its pace in the future. The lifetime risk of cancer for people born since 1960 is forecast to be more than 50%.
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Recent epidemiological studies from various countries point at the mounting incidence of cancer. This continuous increase in the number of cancer cases will keep its pace in the future. The lifetime risk of cancer for people born since 1960 is forecast to be more than 50%.
openaire +2 more sources
2019
This is an ideal introduction for university students studying forecasting, practitioners new to the field and for general readers interested in how economists forecast.
Castle, C, Clements, M, Hendry, D
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This is an ideal introduction for university students studying forecasting, practitioners new to the field and for general readers interested in how economists forecast.
Castle, C, Clements, M, Hendry, D
openaire +2 more sources
Understanding forecast reconciliation
European Journal of Operational Research, 2021Ross Hollyman, Fotios Petropoulos
exaly
FFORMA: Feature-based forecast model averaging
International Journal of Forecasting, 2020George Athanasopoulos +2 more
exaly