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2019
This is an ideal introduction for university students studying forecasting, practitioners new to the field and for general readers interested in how economists forecast.
Castle, C, Clements, M, Hendry, D
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This is an ideal introduction for university students studying forecasting, practitioners new to the field and for general readers interested in how economists forecast.
Castle, C, Clements, M, Hendry, D
openaire +2 more sources
Macroeconomic forecasting and macroeconomic forecasts
Voprosy EkonomikiThe specificity of macroeconomic forecasts is determined not so much by the list of predicted indicators or by mathematical tools used, but by the unavoidable human factor, which often generates great difference between forecasts made by various professionals.
S. V. Smirnov +2 more
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Microfounded Forecasting [PDF]
In this paper, we propose a microfounded framework to investigate a panel of forecasts (e.g. model-driven or survey-based) and the possibility to improve their out-of-sample forecast performance by employing a bias-correction device. Following Patton and Timmermann (2007), we theoretically justify the modeling of forecasts as function of the ...
Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza +1 more
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2007
It is a well-known fact that only factive propositional attitude predicates are felicitous with wh-(indirect question) complements. It has also been noted that so-called emotive factive predicates are only felicitous with some, not all, indirect question complements. But the reasons for these two constraints have remained unclear.
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It is a well-known fact that only factive propositional attitude predicates are felicitous with wh-(indirect question) complements. It has also been noted that so-called emotive factive predicates are only felicitous with some, not all, indirect question complements. But the reasons for these two constraints have remained unclear.
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Forecasting and Forecasts of Demand and Output
1984Forecasting is the process of using data about the past and present to predict the future. Some assumptions about the future are necessary as a basis for almost any type of decision. The assumptions may be based on a `hunch’ or on a systematic use of whatever data are relevant. The `hunch’ forecaster may produce a better prognostication than the formal
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Forecast Accuracy and Forecaster Disagreement in the Survey of Professional Forecasters
Research Brief (Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia), 2023openaire +1 more source
Understanding forecast reconciliation
European Journal of Operational Research, 2021Ross Hollyman, Fotios Petropoulos
exaly

