Results 21 to 30 of about 596,691 (192)
FUTURES & FORESIGHT SCIENCE, 2019 AbstractAccurate forecasting is necessary to remain competitive in today's business environment. Forecast support systems are designed to aid forecasters in achieving high accuracy. However, studies have shown that people are distrustful of automated forecasters.
Dilek Önkal +2 more
openaire +2 more sources
Retrospective Evaluation of the Five-Year and Ten-Year CSEP-Italy Earthquake Forecasts [PDF]
, 2010 On 1 August 2009, the global Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP) launched a prospective and comparative earthquake predictability experiment in Italy.
CSEP-Italy Working Group +4 more
core +4 more sources
Simulation of the ENSO influence on the extra-tropical middle atmosphere
Earth, Planets and Space, 2019 The impact of the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on the Northern Hemisphere mid-winter zonal wind, temperature, and stationary planetary waves (SPWs) is evaluated using the Middle and Upper Atmosphere Model and Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for ...
Tatiana S. Ermakova +4 more
doaj +1 more source
Atmosphere, 2020 This paper reviews the evolution of planetary boundary layer (PBL) parameterization schemes that have been used in the operational version of the Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting (HWRF) model since 2011.
Jun A. Zhang +5 more
doaj +1 more source
Forecasting Breaks and Forecasting During Breaks [PDF]
, 2012 AbstractThis article, which proposes a new approach to forecasting breaks by focusing on the role of information, begins by outlining the eight conditions that are necessary to successfully forecast a break. Section 2 then considers the concepts of unpredictability and information to address the first necessary condition.
Jennifer Castle +2 more
openaire +4 more sources
Journal of Forecasting, 2011 ABSTRACTP. C. B. Phillips (1998) demonstrated that deterministic trends are a valid representation of an otherwise stochastic trending mechanism; he remained skeptic, however, about the predictive power of such representations. In this paper we prove that forecasts built upon spurious regression may perform (asymptotically) as well as those issued from
Martínez-Rivera, B. +2 more
openaire +3 more sources
Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 2021 For the past two decades, precipitation radars (PR) onboard low‐orbiting satellites such as Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) have provided invaluable insight into global precipitation variability and led to advancements in numerical weather ...
James Taylor +8 more
doaj +1 more source
Quelques reflexions sur une conception « qualitative » du systeme éducatif
The Journal of Quality in Education, 2019 La définition précise des besoins, autant que faire se peut, est un préalable incontournable dans la conception du système éducatif. Même si le processus de l’enseignement est en général long, la période qui sert réellement à inculquer les compétences ...
ABDENNASSER NAJI
doaj +1 more source
The Psychology Underlying Biased Forecasts of COVID-19 Cases and Deaths in the United States
Frontiers in Psychology, 2020 This paper discusses the impact of a series of psychological phenomena on the U.S. response to COVID-19, focusing on forecasts of cases and deaths.
Hersh Shefrin
doaj +1 more source
House Price Forecasts, Forecaster Herding, and the Recent Crisis
International Journal of Financial Studies, 2012 We used the Wall Street Journal survey data for the period 2006–2012 to analyze whether forecasts of house prices and housing starts provide evidence of (anti-)herding of forecasters. Forecasts are consistent with herding (anti-herding) of forecasters if
Christian Pierdzioch +2 more
doaj +1 more source