Results 21 to 30 of about 178,867 (312)
Atmosphere, 2020 This paper reviews the evolution of planetary boundary layer (PBL) parameterization schemes that have been used in the operational version of the Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting (HWRF) model since 2011.
Jun A. Zhang +5 more
doaj +1 more source
AIFS Single 1.1.0: an update to ECMWF's machine-learned weather forecast model AIFS [PDF]
Geoscientific Model DevelopmentWe present version 1.1.0 of ECMWF's Artificial Intelligence Forecasting System (AIFS Single), operational since 25 February 2025. The revised system introduces a bounding-layer framework that enforces physical constraints, such as non-negativity and ...
G. Moldovan +20 more
doaj +1 more source
Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 2021 For the past two decades, precipitation radars (PR) onboard low‐orbiting satellites such as Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) have provided invaluable insight into global precipitation variability and led to advancements in numerical weather ...
James Taylor +8 more
doaj +1 more source
Forecasting Breaks and Forecasting During Breaks [PDF]
, 2012 AbstractThis article, which proposes a new approach to forecasting breaks by focusing on the role of information, begins by outlining the eight conditions that are necessary to successfully forecast a break. Section 2 then considers the concepts of unpredictability and information to address the first necessary condition.
Jennifer Castle +2 more
openaire +4 more sources
Quelques reflexions sur une conception « qualitative » du systeme éducatif
The Journal of Quality in Education, 2019 La définition précise des besoins, autant que faire se peut, est un préalable incontournable dans la conception du système éducatif. Même si le processus de l’enseignement est en général long, la période qui sert réellement à inculquer les compétences ...
ABDENNASSER NAJI
doaj +1 more source
The Psychology Underlying Biased Forecasts of COVID-19 Cases and Deaths in the United States
Frontiers in Psychology, 2020 This paper discusses the impact of a series of psychological phenomena on the U.S. response to COVID-19, focusing on forecasts of cases and deaths.
Hersh Shefrin
doaj +1 more source
House Price Forecasts, Forecaster Herding, and the Recent Crisis
International Journal of Financial Studies, 2012 We used the Wall Street Journal survey data for the period 2006–2012 to analyze whether forecasts of house prices and housing starts provide evidence of (anti-)herding of forecasters. Forecasts are consistent with herding (anti-herding) of forecasters if
Christian Pierdzioch +2 more
doaj +1 more source
The effect of water currents on wind drag – a case study of tidal currents and sea breeze in a semi-enclosed embayment [PDF]
Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science, 2023 The details of how energy and momentum are exchanged at the interface between ocean surface and the atmosphere is complex and the subject of new and more complete models.
S. M. Thurgate
doaj
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 2023 This report provides a summary of the main outcomes of the 3rd edition of the workshop on Machine Learning (ML) for Earth System Observation and Prediction (ESOP/ML4ESOP) co-organised by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and ...
Massimo Bonavita +7 more
doaj +1 more source
Evaluating Individual and Mean Non-Replicable Forecasts [PDF]
Macroeconomic forecasts are often based on the interaction between econometric models and experts. A forecast that is based only on an econometric model is replicable and may be unbiased, whereas a forecast that is not based only on an econometric model,
Michael McAleer +2 more
core +4 more sources