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Week 52 Influenza Forecast for the 2012-2013 U.S. Season [PDF]

open access: yes, 2013
This document is another installment in a series of near real-time weekly influenza forecasts made during the 2012-2013 influenza season. Here we present some of the results of forecasts initiated following assimilation of observations for Week 52 (i.e ...
Karspeck, Alicia   +2 more
core  

AIFS-CRPS: ensemble forecasting using a model trained with a loss function based on the continuous ranked probability score

open access: yesnpj Artificial Intelligence
Ensemble weather forecasts provide a probabilistic description of the future state of the atmosphere and give users flow-dependent estimates of forecast uncertainty.
Simon Lang   +17 more
doaj   +1 more source

Photovoltaic Power Forecasting: Assessment of the Impact of Multiple Sources of Spatio-Temporal Data on Forecast Accuracy

open access: yesEnergies, 2021
The efficient integration of photovoltaic (PV) production in energy systems is conditioned by the capacity to anticipate its variability, that is, the capacity to provide accurate forecasts.
Xwégnon Ghislain Agoua   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

New materials — primary converters of semiconductor measuring cells based on InAs-CdTe system [PDF]

open access: yesОмский научный вестник, 2020
Using the method developed with reference to the InAs-CdTe system taking into account its condition diagram and the primary bulk physical, physical and chemical properties of the initial binary compounds (InAs, CdTe), the new materials have been ...
I. A. Kirovskaya   +7 more
doaj   +1 more source

How wrong were we? The accuracy of the Fraser of Allander Institute's forecasts of the Scottish economy since 2000 [PDF]

open access: yes, 2011
The Fraser of Allander Institute regularly forecasts the annual growth of the Scottish economy. This paper measures the accuracy of these forecasts. It contrasts official measures of the growth performance of the Scottish economy and FAI forecasts for ...
Allan, Grant
core  

On the performance of US fiscal forecasts : government vs. private information [PDF]

open access: yes, 2020
This paper contributes to shed light on the quality and performance of US fiscal forecasts. The first part inspects the causes of official (CBO) fiscal forecasts revisions between 1984 and 2016 that are due to technical, economic or policy reasons.
Jalles, João Tovar, Zidong, An
core  

Quantile forecasts of daily exchange rate returns from forecasts of realized volatility [PDF]

open access: yes, 2008
Quantile forecasts are central to risk management decisions because of the widespread use of Value-at-Risk. A quantile forecast is the product of two factors: the model used to forecast volatility, and the method of computing quantiles from the ...
Ana Beatriz Galvão   +30 more
core   +1 more source

Volatility Forecasting [PDF]

open access: yesSSRN Electronic Journal, 2005
Volatility has been one of the most active and successful areas of research in time series econometrics and economic forecasting in recent decades. This chapter provides a selective survey of the most important theoretical developments and empirical insights to emerge from this burgeoning literature, with a distinct focus on forecasting applications ...
Andersen, Torben G.   +3 more
openaire   +5 more sources

Evaluation of Satellite Precipitation Estimates over Australia

open access: yesRemote Sensing, 2020
This study evaluates the U.S. National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration’s (NOAA) Climate Prediction Center morphing technique (CMORPH) and the Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency’s (JAXA) Global Satellite Mapping of Precipitation ...
Zhi-Weng Chua   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

ECONOMIC FORECASTS BASED ON ECONOMETRIC MODELS USING EViews 5 [PDF]

open access: yesAnalele Universităţii Constantin Brâncuşi din Târgu Jiu : Seria Economie, 2009
The forecast of evolution of economic phenomena represent on the most the final objective of econometrics. It withal represent a real attempt of validity elaborate model.
Cornelia TomescuDumitrescu,
doaj  

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