Results 141 to 150 of about 72,454 (299)

Modeling the volatility of FTSE All Share Index Returns [PDF]

We tested different GARCH models in modeling the volatility of stock returns in London Stock Exchange. The monthly returns of FTSE All Share Index during the period of February 1965 and October 2002 and GARCH, TGARCH, EGARCH, and AGARCH models have been ...
Bayraci, Selcuk
core   +1 more source

Quadratic Hedging of American Options Under GARCH Models

Journal of Futures Markets, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT American options are widely traded in financial markets, yet there is a scarcity of literature on hedging in incomplete markets. In this paper, we derive optimal hedging ratios and option values using Local Risk Minimization (LRM) and Global Risk Minimization (GRM) hedging strategies through dynamic programming.
Junmei Ma, Chen Wang, Wei Xu
wiley   +1 more source

Improving Implied Volatility Forecasts for American Options Using Neural Networks

Journal of Futures Markets, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This paper explores the application of neural networks to improve pricing of American options. Focusing on both American and European options on the S&P 100 index from January 2016 to August 2023, we integrate neural networks to model the difference between market‐implied and model‐implied volatilities derived from the Black‐Scholes and Heston
Haitong Jiang, Emese Lazar, Miriam Marra
wiley   +1 more source

Predicting Tail-related Risk Measures: The Consequences of Using GARCH Filters for non-GARCH Data [PDF]

We investigate the consequences for value-at-risk and expected short-fall purposes of using a GARCH filter on various mis-specified processes.
Amine JALAL, Michael ROCKINGER
core  

Forecasting Natural Gas Futures Price Volatility of the United States: National Versus State‐Level Climate Concern Indexes

Journal of Futures Markets, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This paper uses GARCH‐MIDAS to predict US natural gas futures volatility using national and state‐level Climate Concern Indexes (CCIs). We find that both national and state‐level CCIs positively affect price volatility. Notably, models using state‐level data—specifically those utilizing least‐squares (LS) weighting combinations—surpass the ...
Afees A. Salisu, Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna, Rangan Gupta, Onur Polat   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Effective Forecasting of Insurer Capital Requirements: ARMA-GARCH, ARMA-GARCH-EVT, and DCC-GARCH Approaches

Emerging Science Journal
This research paper presents a comprehensive analysis of three prominent volatility and dependence models for financial time series: ARMA-GARCH, GARCH-EVT, and DCC-GARCH. These models are employed to assess and forecast capital requirements for life and non-life insurer investments.
Thitivadee Chaiyawat, Pannarat Guayjarernpanishk   +1 more
openaire   +2 more sources

Climate Change Laws and European Stock Markets: An Event Analysis

International Journal of Finance &Economics, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Under the context of the climate change we assess the impact of EU's legislative initiative on European stock markets. Specifically, we focus on its impact on energy and Environmental Social Governance (ESG) sectors for equity returns and volatility for a representative basket of EU countries (participating also in Eurozone) as well as ...
Theodoros Bratis, Georgios P. Kouretas, Evangelos Salachas   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Brexit and Its Impact on EU Financial Markets

International Journal of Finance &Economics, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We investigate the impact of Brexit on volatility spillovers across the EU countries. We introduce a Brexit intensity measure that assigns an intensity score reflective of the financial markets' reaction to the events that occurred as Brexit negotiations began to unfold.
Marwan Izzeldin, Gulnur Muradoglu, Vasileios Pappas, Sheeja Sivaprasad   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Valor em Risco (VaR) utilizando modelos de previsão de volatilidade: EWMA, GARCH e Volatilidade Estocástica

BBR: Brazilian Business Review, 2007
Este artigo explora três modelos utilizados para a estimativa da volatilidade: suavização exponencial - EWMA, volatilidade condicional - GARCH e volatilidade estocástica - VE. A volatilidade estimada por estes modelos pode ser utilizada em uma métrica de
Fernando Caio Galdi, Leonel Molero Pereira   +1 more
doaj  

A closed-form GARCH option pricing model [PDF]

This paper develops a closed-form option pricing formula for a spot asset whose variance follows a GARCH process. The model allows for correlation between returns of the spot asset and variance and also admits multiple lags in the dynamics of the GARCH ...
Saikat Nandi, Steven L. Heston
core