Testing for the footprints of stabilization economic policy in forecast errors. [PDF]
Charemza W +4 more
europepmc +1 more source
Empirical‐Process Limit Theory and Filter Approximation Bounds for Score‐Driven Time Series Models
ABSTRACT This article examines the filtering and approximation‐theoretic properties of score‐driven time series models. Under specific Lipschitz‐type and tail conditions, new results are derived, leading to maximal and deviation inequalities for the filtering approximation error using empirical process theory.
Enzo D'Innocenzo
wiley +1 more source
Prediction, lag and mixture effects of meteorology and pollutants on the incidence of pulmonary tuberculosis in Jining City, China. [PDF]
Cao H, Liu W, Yuan J, Wang W, Hou W.
europepmc +1 more source
On Testing for Independence Between Generalized Error Models of Several Time Series
ABSTRACT We define generalized innovations associated with generalized error models having arbitrary distributions, that is, distributions that can be mixtures of continuous and discrete distributions. These models include stochastic volatility models and regime‐switching models with possibly zero‐inflated regimes.
Kilani Ghoudi +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Pan-European analysis shows stable, low antimicrobial resistance in most bovine and porcine respiratory tract pathogens. [PDF]
de Jong A +5 more
europepmc +1 more source
Penalized Convex Estimation in Dynamic Location Models
ABSTRACT This paper studies L1$$ {L}^1 $$‐penalized estimation for location models yt=mt+ϵt$$ {y}_t={m}_t+{\epsilon}_t $$, where mt$$ {m}_t $$ is defined by a possibly non‐Markovian recursion and ϵt$$ {\epsilon}_t $$ is a martingale difference sequence with possibly time‐varying conditional variance.
Reda Alami Chentoufi
wiley +1 more source
Forecasting with a Bivariate Hysteretic Time Series Model Incorporating Asymmetric Volatility and Dynamic Correlations. [PDF]
Than HT.
europepmc +1 more source
Ushbu maqolada GARCH modeli va uning tarixi keltirilgan bo’lib, bu model orqali vaqt bo’yicha o’zgaruvchan bo’lgan shartli dispersiya tahlil qilingan.
openaire +2 more sources
Heteroskedastic Structural Vector Autoregressions Identified via Long‐Run Restrictions
ABSTRACT A central assumption for identifying structural shocks in vector autoregressive (VAR) models via heteroskedasticity is the time‐invariance of the impact effects of the shocks. It is shown how that assumption can be tested when long‐run restrictions based on the cointegration structure of the variables are available for identifying structural ...
Martin Bruns, Helmut Lütkepohl
wiley +1 more source
National and regional Temporal trends and forecasting of preterm birth in brazil: evidence from National birth data (2014-2023) with projections to 2030. [PDF]
Victor A +8 more
europepmc +1 more source

