Results 21 to 30 of about 4,724 (162)

An Empirical Evaluation of GARCH Models in Value-at-Risk Estimation: Evidence from the Macedonian Stock Exchange

open access: yesBusiness Systems Research, 2013
Background: In light of the latest global financial crisis and the ongoing sovereign debt crisis, accurate measuring of market losses has become a very current issue. One of the most popular risk measures is Value-at-Risk (VaR). Objectives: Our paper has
Bucevska Vesna
doaj   +1 more source

Forecasting the Volatility of Real Residential Property Prices in Malaysia: A Comparison of Garch Models

open access: yesReal Estate Management and Valuation, 2023
The presence of volatility in residential property market prices helps investors generate substantial profit while also causing fear among investors since high volatility implies a high return with a high risk.
Suleiman Ahmad Abubakar   +6 more
doaj   +1 more source

Comparing GARCH Models by Introducing Fuzzy Asymmetric Realized GARCH [PDF]

open access: yesمدلسازی اقتصادسنجی, 2018
Estimation of conditional variance has lots of application reflecting economic, especially financial economics, social economics and political economics’ risk and volatility research.
Esmaiel Abounoori, Mohammad Amin Zabol
doaj   +1 more source

ESTIMATING VOLATILITY CLUSTERING USING GJR-GARCH MODEL: A CASE STUDY FOR GERMAN STOCK MARKET [PDF]

open access: yesAnalele Universităţii Constantin Brâncuşi din Târgu Jiu : Seria Economie, 2022
The purpose of this article is to concentrate on the stylized data in the financial series of the major index DAX of the German stock market. Moreover, we investigated the effects of positive and negative news on the volatility of the stock market of ...
RACHANA BAID   +4 more
doaj  

Hybrid Model for Stock Market Volatility

open access: yesJournal of Probability and Statistics, 2023
Empirical evidence suggests that the traditional GARCH-type models are unable to accurately estimate the volatility of financial markets. To improve on the accuracy of the traditional GARCH-type models, a hybrid model (BSGARCH (1, 1)) that combines the ...
Kofi Agyarko   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

A Fuzzy Framework for Realized Volatility Prediction: Empirical Evidence From Equity Markets

open access: yesJournal of Forecasting, Volume 45, Issue 3, Page 1261-1291, April 2026.
ABSTRACT This study introduces a realized volatility fuzzy time series (RV‐FTS) model that applies a fuzzy c‐means clustering algorithm to estimate time‐varying c latent volatility states and their corresponding membership degrees. These memberships are used to construct a fuzzified volatility estimate as a weighted average of cluster centroids.
Shafqat Iqbal, Štefan Lyócsa
wiley   +1 more source

Comparison of Symmetrical; Asymmetrical; and Logarithmic Models Using GARCH; GJR-GARCH; and EGARCH Method in Forecasting Indonesia–USA Currency Volatility

open access: yesEkonometria
Aim: The main object of this study was to present a comparison between GARCH models, i.e. the standard GARCH model, asymmetric GJR-GARCH, and logarithmic EGARCH on exchange rate (IDR/USD) volatility.
Juwita Suwondo   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

Does ESG Investing Pay off? Comparing the Performance of ESG and Traditional ETFs Across European and US Markets

open access: yesBusiness Strategy and the Environment, Volume 35, Issue 3, Page 3561-3606, March 2026.
ABSTRACT Investors have long recognized the importance of firms in promoting sustainability, leading to the rise of socially responsible investment (SRI). Specifically, there is a growing preference for exchange‐traded funds (ETFs) that prioritize environmental, social, and governance (ESG) principles.
Sandra Tenorio‐Salgueiro   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Modeling and Forecasting Daily Hotel Demand: A Comparison Based on SARIMAX, Neural Networks, and GARCH Models

open access: yesForecasting, 2021
Overnight forecasting is a crucial challenge for revenue managers because of the uncertainty associated between demand and supply. However, there is limited research that focuses on predicting daily hotel demand.
Apostolos Ampountolas
doaj   +1 more source

Forecasting Carbon Prices: A Literature Review

open access: yesJournal of Forecasting, Volume 45, Issue 2, Page 496-529, March 2026.
ABSTRACT Carbon emissions trading is utilized by a growing number of states as a significant tool for addressing greenhouse gas emissions (GHG), global warming problem and the climate crisis. Accurate forecasting of carbon prices is essential for effective policy design and investment strategies in climate change mitigation.
Konstantinos Bisiotis   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

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