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Hybrid deep learning and GARCH-family models for forecasting volatility of cryptocurrencies

open access: yesMachine Learning with Applications, 2023
The combination of Deep Learning and GARCH-type models has been proved to be superior to the single models in forecasting of volatility in various markets such as energy, main metals, and especially stock markets.
Bahareh Amirshahi, Salim Lahmiri
doaj   +3 more sources

Multimodality in GARCH regression models [PDF]

open access: yesInternational Journal of Forecasting, 2008
It is shown empirically that mixed autoregressive moving average regression models with generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (Reg-ARMA-GARCH models) can have multimodality in the likelihood that is caused by a dummy variable in the conditional mean.
Jürgen A Doornik, Marius Ooms
exaly   +4 more sources

A Hybrid Model of Machine Learning Model and Econometrics’ Model to Predict Volatility of KSE-100 Index

open access: yesReviews of Management Sciences, 2022
Purpose: The purpose of this paper is to predict the volatility of the KSE-100 index using econometric and machine learning models. It also designs hybrid models for volatility forecasting by combining these two models in three different ways ...
Komal Batool   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

Forecasting gains by using extreme value theory with realised GARCH filter

open access: yesIIMB Management Review, 2021
Early empirical evidence suggests that the realised generalised autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model provides significant forecasting gains over the standard GARCH models in volatility forecasting.
Samit Paul, Prateek Sharma
doaj   +1 more source

Challenges of integrated variance estimation in emerging stock markets [PDF]

open access: yesZbornik radova Ekonomskog fakulteta u Rijeci : časopis za ekonomsku teoriju i praksu, 2019
Estimating integrated variance, using high frequency data, requires modelling experience and data crunching skills. Although intraday returns have attracted much attention in recent years, handling these data is challenging because of their ...
Josip Arnerić, Mario Matković
doaj   +1 more source

GARCH Modeling of Cryptocurrencies [PDF]

open access: yesSSRN Electronic Journal, 2017
With the exception of Bitcoin, there appears to be little or no literature on GARCH modelling of cryptocurrencies. This paper provides the first GARCH modelling of the seven most popular cryptocurrencies. Twelve GARCH models are fitted to each cryptocurrency, and their fits are assessed in terms of five criteria.
Chu, Jeffrey   +3 more
openaire   +2 more sources

Multivariate GARCH Models [PDF]

open access: yesSSRN Electronic Journal, 2008
This article contains a review of multivariate GARCH models. Most common GARCH models are presented and their properties considered. This also includes nonparametric and semiparametric models. Existing specification and misspecification tests are discussed.
Silvennoinen, Annastiina   +1 more
openaire   +3 more sources

Forecasting Egyptian Stock Market Volatility with Markov Regime Switching GARCH Models [PDF]

open access: yesThe Egyptian Statistical Journal, 2012
In the present work, GARCH models are incorporated in a regime- switching framework thatallows to take into account the existence of two different volatility regimes which characterizedby a different level of volatility.
Amaal El-Sayed Abd El-Ghany Mubarak
doaj   +1 more source

Modeling the volatility of Bitcoin returns using Nonparametric GARCH models

open access: yesAcademic Finance, 2022
Objective: The purpose of this paper is to demonstrate the effectiveness of the nonparametric GARCH model for the prediction of future Bitcoin prices.   Methodology: The parametric GARCH models to characterize the volatility of Bitcoin returns are ...
Sami MESTIRI
doaj   +1 more source

Comparing GARCH Models by Introducing Fuzzy Asymmetric Realized GARCH [PDF]

open access: yesمدلسازی اقتصادسنجی, 2018
Estimation of conditional variance has lots of application reflecting economic, especially financial economics, social economics and political economics’ risk and volatility research.
Esmaiel Abounoori, Mohammad Amin Zabol
doaj   +1 more source

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