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Hybrid deep learning and GARCH-family models for forecasting volatility of cryptocurrencies
The combination of Deep Learning and GARCH-type models has been proved to be superior to the single models in forecasting of volatility in various markets such as energy, main metals, and especially stock markets.
Bahareh Amirshahi, Salim Lahmiri
doaj +3 more sources
Multimodality in GARCH regression models [PDF]
It is shown empirically that mixed autoregressive moving average regression models with generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (Reg-ARMA-GARCH models) can have multimodality in the likelihood that is caused by a dummy variable in the conditional mean.
Jürgen A Doornik, Marius Ooms
exaly +4 more sources
Purpose: The purpose of this paper is to predict the volatility of the KSE-100 index using econometric and machine learning models. It also designs hybrid models for volatility forecasting by combining these two models in three different ways ...
Komal Batool +2 more
doaj +1 more source
Forecasting gains by using extreme value theory with realised GARCH filter
Early empirical evidence suggests that the realised generalised autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model provides significant forecasting gains over the standard GARCH models in volatility forecasting.
Samit Paul, Prateek Sharma
doaj +1 more source
Challenges of integrated variance estimation in emerging stock markets [PDF]
Estimating integrated variance, using high frequency data, requires modelling experience and data crunching skills. Although intraday returns have attracted much attention in recent years, handling these data is challenging because of their ...
Josip Arnerić, Mario Matković
doaj +1 more source
GARCH Modeling of Cryptocurrencies [PDF]
With the exception of Bitcoin, there appears to be little or no literature on GARCH modelling of cryptocurrencies. This paper provides the first GARCH modelling of the seven most popular cryptocurrencies. Twelve GARCH models are fitted to each cryptocurrency, and their fits are assessed in terms of five criteria.
Chu, Jeffrey +3 more
openaire +2 more sources
Multivariate GARCH Models [PDF]
This article contains a review of multivariate GARCH models. Most common GARCH models are presented and their properties considered. This also includes nonparametric and semiparametric models. Existing specification and misspecification tests are discussed.
Silvennoinen, Annastiina +1 more
openaire +3 more sources
Forecasting Egyptian Stock Market Volatility with Markov Regime Switching GARCH Models [PDF]
In the present work, GARCH models are incorporated in a regime- switching framework thatallows to take into account the existence of two different volatility regimes which characterizedby a different level of volatility.
Amaal El-Sayed Abd El-Ghany Mubarak
doaj +1 more source
Modeling the volatility of Bitcoin returns using Nonparametric GARCH models
Objective: The purpose of this paper is to demonstrate the effectiveness of the nonparametric GARCH model for the prediction of future Bitcoin prices. Methodology: The parametric GARCH models to characterize the volatility of Bitcoin returns are ...
Sami MESTIRI
doaj +1 more source
Comparing GARCH Models by Introducing Fuzzy Asymmetric Realized GARCH [PDF]
Estimation of conditional variance has lots of application reflecting economic, especially financial economics, social economics and political economics’ risk and volatility research.
Esmaiel Abounoori, Mohammad Amin Zabol
doaj +1 more source

