Results 21 to 30 of about 16,252 (305)

Modeling crude oil price volatility in Nigeria: using GARCH (1,1), EGARCH (1,1), and GJR-GARCH (1,1) models [PDF]

open access: yesمجلة العلوم التجارية والبيئية
This study investigates the performance of various GARCH models for volatility forecasting, focusing on the GARCH (1,1), EGARCH (1,1), and GJR-GARCH (1,1) frameworks, each tested with normal and Student’s t-distributions.
Frederick A. Omoruyi   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

The application of the hybrid copula-GARCH approach in the simulation of extreme discharge values

open access: yesApplied Water Science, 2022
Statistical analysis and simulation of annual maximum discharge values, while considering the corresponding maximum daily rainfall, provide a comprehensive view of flood management.
Mohammad Nazeri Tahroudi   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

A Copula-Garch Modelcopula-Garch Model [PDF]

open access: yesEconomic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja, 2010
AbstractIn the present study we develop a new two-dimensional Copula-GARCH model. This type of two-dimensional process is characterized by a dependency structure modeled using a copula function. For the marginal densities we employ a GARCH(1,1) model with innovations drawn from a t-Student distribution.
openaire   +1 more source

Persistence and Kurtosis in GARCH and Stochastic Volatility Models [PDF]

open access: yes, 2004
This article shows that the relationship between kurtosis, persistence of shocks to volatility, and first-order autocorrelation of squares is different in GARCH and ARSV models.
Ruiz Ortega, Esther   +4 more
core   +1 more source

Forecasting the volatility of EUA futures with economic policy uncertainty using the GARCH-MIDAS model

open access: yesFinancial Innovation, 2021
This study investigates the impact of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) on the volatility of European Union (EU) carbon futures prices and whether it has predictive power for the volatility of carbon futures prices.
Jian Liu   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

A LATIN AMERICAN MARKET ASSET VOLATILITY ANALYSIS: A COMPARISON OF GARCH MODEL, ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS AND SUPPORT VECTOR REGRESSION

open access: yesApplied Computer Science, 2023
The objective of this research was to compare the effectiveness of the GARCH method with machine learning techniques in predicting asset volatility in the main Latin American markets.
Victor CHUNG, Jenny ESPINOZA
doaj   +1 more source

Calculating Value at Risk: DCC-GARCH-Copula Approach [PDF]

open access: yesفصلنامه پژوهش‌های اقتصادی ایران, 2020
In this paper, in order to calculate portfolio market risk of 10 selected industries indices in Tehran Stock Exchange, two models of Value Risk (VaR) and Expected shortfall (ES) have been used.
Reza Taleblou, Mohammad Mahdi Davoudi
doaj   +1 more source

Hybrid Model for Stock Market Volatility

open access: yesJournal of Probability and Statistics, 2023
Empirical evidence suggests that the traditional GARCH-type models are unable to accurately estimate the volatility of financial markets. To improve on the accuracy of the traditional GARCH-type models, a hybrid model (BSGARCH (1, 1)) that combines the ...
Kofi Agyarko   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

Performance of the Realized-GARCH Model against Other GARCH Types in Predicting Cryptocurrency Volatility

open access: yesRisks, 2023
Cryptocurrencies have increasingly attracted the attention of several players interested in crypto assets. Their rapid growth and dynamic nature require robust methods for modeling their volatility.
Rhenan G. S. Queiroz, Sergio A. David
doaj   +1 more source

GARCH models without positivity constraints: Exponential or log GARCH? [PDF]

open access: yesJournal of Econometrics, 2013
This paper provides a probabilistic and statistical comparison of the log-GARCH and EGARCH models, which both rely on multiplicative volatility dynamics without positivity constraints. We compare the main probabilistic properties (strict stationarity, existence of moments, tails) of the EGARCH model, which are already known, with those of an asymmetric
Francq, Christian   +2 more
openaire   +4 more sources

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