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Assessing natural global catastrophic risks
The risk of global catastrophe from natural sources may be significantly larger than previous analyses have found. In the study of global catastrophic risk (GCR), one line of thinking posits that deep human history renders natural GCRs insignificant. Essentially, the fact that natural hazards did not cause human extinction at any previous time makes it
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Superintelligence Skepticism as a Political Tool
This paper explores the potential for skepticism about artificial superintelligence to be used as a tool for political ends. Superintelligence is AI that is much smarter than humans.
Seth D. Baum
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Countering Superintelligence Misinformation
Superintelligence is a potential type of future artificial intelligence (AI) that is significantly more intelligent than humans in all major respects.
Seth D. Baum
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African countries have been severely affected by food insecurity such that 54% of the population (73 million people) are acutely food insecure, in crisis or worse.
Blessing Ugwoke +4 more
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Proposing a Framework for Catastrophic Risk Management through Alternative Risk Transfer Instruments [PDF]
Objective: Global catastrophic risks are classified into 62 categories, 34 of which have been recorded in Iran. Such risks are major threats to the Iranian economy.
Hosaine Hasangholipoure +3 more
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Background: People with tuberculosis disease and their household members may suffer direct out-of-pocket expenses and indirect costs of lost income. These tuberculosis-related costs can worsen poverty, make tuberculosis treatment completion unaffordable,
Sumona Datta +5 more
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Evaluating Covid in the Context of Global Catastrophic Risk [PDF]
Overall, whether or not Covid-19 fits with particular definitions of global catastrophic risk (GCR), it provides a case from which researchers, policy-makers and practitioners can learn to improve their understanding of how GCRs and responses to them ...
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Quantifying Global Greenhouse Gas Emissions in Human Deaths to Guide Energy Policy
When attempting to quantify future harms caused by carbon emissions and to set appropriate energy policies, it has been argued that the most important metric is the number of human deaths caused by climate change.
Joshua M. Pearce, Richard Parncutt
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A Critical Look at Risk Assessments for Global Catastrophes [PDF]
Recent articles by Busza et al. (BJSW) and Dar et al. (DDH) argue that astrophysical data can be used to establish small bounds on the risk of a “killer strangelet” catastrophe scenario in the RHIC and ALICE collider experiments. The case for the safety of the experiments set out by BJSW does not rely solely on these bounds, but on theoretical ...
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Micronutrient Availability in Alternative Foods During Agricultural Catastrophes
Several catastrophes could block the sun, including asteroid/comet impact, super volcanic eruption, and nuclear war with the burning of cities (nuclear winter).
David Denkenberger, Joshua M. Pearce
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