Mechanisms of Projected Changes in Thunderstorm Downburst Environments Across the United States
Abstract Responses of downdraft convective available potential energy (DCAPE) to global warming were investigated using the Community Earth System Model (CESM2) under a high‐emission scenario through the year 2100. DCAPE is projected to increase by 5%–12% on average in most areas, independently of wind shear.
Ian N. Williams, Gwendolyn N. Fieweger
wiley +1 more source
Improving predictions of convective storm wind gusts through statistical post-processing of neural weather models. [PDF]
Leclerc A +4 more
europepmc +1 more source
Advancing Tropical Cyclone Rainfall Simulation and Projection With Eddy‐Resolving Climate Models
Abstract Tropical cyclone (TC) plays a critical role in driving hydrological extremes. However, current generation climate models often fail to capture TC inner‐core dynamical structures, leading to substantial underestimation (>50%) of TC rainfall (TCR).
Baiping Wang +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Tropical-leaning Atlantic Oscillation favors more typhoons toward Asian high-latitude cities. [PDF]
Wu Z +8 more
europepmc +1 more source
Abstract Spring dust storms in the U.S. Southwest significantly impact environmental and human systems, yet their climatological patterns and driving mechanisms remain poorly understood. Using two decades of MERRA‐2 reanalysis data and self‐organizing map clustering, we identified four distinct dust transport pathways from surrounding and remote ...
Huilin Huang +7 more
wiley +1 more source
Forecasting Dengue: Evaluating the Role of Hydroclimate Information in Subseasonal to Seasonal Prediction. [PDF]
Beal MRW +4 more
europepmc +1 more source
Contrasting the Roles of Deep and Shallow Convection in Tropical Gross Moist Stability
Abstract This study investigates the roles of deep and shallow convection in shaping tropical gross moist stability (GMS) and its related quantities—gross dry stability (GDS) and gross moisture stratification (GQS)—under convective quasi‐equilibrium constraints.
Jia‐Yuh Yu, Dong‐Pha Dang
wiley +1 more source
Metastability and teleconnection of atmospheric circulation via hidden Markov models and network modularity. [PDF]
Mukhin D, Samoilov R, Hannachi A.
europepmc +1 more source
Sampling Physical Ocean Fields in WCRP CMIP5 Simulations [PDF]
Adcroft, Alistair J. +19 more
core
Abstract Weather regimes are widely used in weather prediction, but less often to study climate variability and change. Here, we use a year‐round North American regime classification to identify summertime circulation trends from 1981 to 2024. We find large increases in the frequency, persistence and interannual variability of the Greenland High (GH ...
Simon H. Lee, Lorenzo M. Polvani
wiley +1 more source

