Results 91 to 100 of about 30,679 (211)

Snow-melt flood frequency analysis by means of copula based 2D probability distributions for the Narew River in Poland

open access: yesJournal of Hydrology: Regional Studies, 2016
Study region: Narew River in Northeastern Poland. Study focus: Three methods for frequency analysis of snowmelt floods were compared. Two dimensional (2D) normal distribution and copula-based 2D probability distributions were applied to statistically ...
Bogdan Ozga-Zielinski   +4 more
doaj   +1 more source

From gateway to value ladder—The curious case of online mutual aid in China

open access: yesJournal of Risk and Insurance, EarlyView.
Abstract This study examines how InsurTech‐enabled information provision, specifically the disclosure of claimant information previously unavailable in conventional insurance, influences individuals' insurance uptake. We leverage Mutual Aid (MA) platforms as a natural context to examine how socially framed loss information, peer influence, and salience
Ze Chen   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

mixFOCuS: A Communication‐Efficient Online Changepoint Detection Method in Distributed System for Mixed‐Type Data

open access: yesJournal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT With the advent of the Internet of Things, it is increasingly common to have large networks of sensors, where each sensor may collect different types of data, has limited local computing resources and the ability to transmit data to a central cloud. Detecting events that trigger changes in sensor data properties is a key concern.
Ziyang Yang   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

A Conditional Tail Expectation Type Risk Measure for Time Series

open access: yesJournal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We consider the estimation of the conditional expectation 𝔼(Xh|X0>UX(1/p)), provided 𝔼|X0|<∞, at extreme levels, where (Xt)t∈ℤ$$ {\left({X}_t\right)}_{t\in \mathbb{Z}} $$ is a strictly stationary time series, UX$$ {U}_X $$ its tail quantile function, h$$ h $$ is a positive integer and p∈(0,1)$$ p\in \left(0,1\right) $$ is such that p→0$$ p\to ...
Yuri Goegebeur   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Distribuições de extremos de precipitação diária, temperatura máxima e mínima e velocidade do vento em Piracicaba, SP (1917-2006) Extreme distributions of dailyrainfall, minimumand maximum temperatures and wind speed in Piracicaba, Brazil (1917-2006)

open access: yesRevista Brasileira de Meteorologia, 2008
Diversas distribuições teóricas de probabilidade incluindo a Normal, Gumbel, Fréchet, Weibull, Log-Normal e Pearson 3, foram ajustadas aos extremos anuais de precipitação máxima diária, temperatura máxima e mínima absolutas e velocidade instantânea do ...
Clóvis Angeli Sansigolo
doaj   +1 more source

Sequential Outlier Detection in Nonstationary Time Series

open access: yesJournal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT A novel method for sequential outlier detection in nonstationary time series is proposed. The method tests the null hypothesis of “no outlier” at each time point, addressing the multiple testing problem by bounding the error probability of successive tests, using extreme‐value theory. The asymptotic properties of the test statistic are studied
Florian Heinrichs   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Generalized Estimation Methods for Non-i.i.d. Binary Data: An Application to Dichotomous Choice Contingent Valuation [PDF]

open access: yes
We challenge the assumption of i.i.d random utility across alternatives embedded in typical applications of logit models to dichotomous choice contingent valuation data.
Haab, Timothy C., Kim, Sooil
core   +1 more source

Robust Bernoulli Mixture Models for Credit Portfolio Risk

open access: yesMathematical Finance, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This paper presents comparison results and establishes risk bounds for credit portfolios within classes of Bernoulli mixture models, assuming conditionally independent defaults that are stochastically increasing in a common risk factor. We provide simple and interpretable conditions on conditional default probabilities that imply a comparison ...
Jonathan Ansari, Eva Lütkebohmert
wiley   +1 more source

Genomic responses to increased temperature and pollinator selection in Brassica rapa L.

open access: yesNew Phytologist, EarlyView.
Summary Rapid environmental change reshapes both abiotic stress and biotic interactions, yet it remains unclear how these combined forces structure plants' genomic adaptation. In particular, the joint influence of temperature and pollinator identity, two ecological axes undergoing simultaneous global shifts, has rarely been quantified at genomic ...
Yanqian Ding, Florian P. Schiestl
wiley   +1 more source

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