Results 81 to 90 of about 3,280 (258)

Global Insights Into Term Spreads: Unveiling Their Predictive Power During Unconventional Monetary Policy

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This study investigates the predictive power of the term spread for forecasting economic activity across both conventional and unconventional monetary policy regimes. Utilizing data from 22 OECD countries spanning the period from 1985Q1 to 2024Q2, the analysis reveals that the term spread generally maintains its ability to predict GDP growth ...
Petri Kuosmanen, Juuso Vataja
wiley   +1 more source

Temporal Evolution of Sunspot Groups and Increase in the Open Flux during Solar Maximum in Cycle 24

The Astrophysical Journal
The evolution of the global solar magnetic field directly impacts the interplanetary magnetic field (IMF). During the solar maximum of Cycle 24, the monthly averaged IMF strength doubled over five Carrington rotations (CRs) in late 2014.
Minami Yoshida, Toshifumi Shimizu, Shin Toriumi, Haruhisa Iijima   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

Using DSGE and Machine Learning to Forecast Public Debt for France

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Forecasting public debt is essential for effective policymaking and economic stability, yet traditional approaches face challenges due to data scarcity. While machine learning (ML) has demonstrated success in financial forecasting, its application to macroeconomic forecasting remains underexplored, hindered by short historical time series and ...
Emmanouil Sofianos, Thierry Betti, Theophilos Papadimitriou, Amélie Barbier‐Gauchard, Periklis Gogas   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

Knowledge sourcing, geopolitics, and FDI: An empirical analysis on the US green and digital sectors

Global Strategy Journal, EarlyView.
Abstract Research Summary This paper examines how foreign direct investment (FDI) shapes firms' sourcing of knowledge in the digital and green domains under rising geopolitical frictions. We assemble a firm–country dyadic panel (2013–2020) linking US patent backward citations to firms' FDI, enriched with bilateral geopolitical distance and host‐country
Alberto Maria Radici
wiley   +1 more source

Geopolitics and global strategy: Making money under anarchy

Global Strategy Journal, EarlyView.
Abstract Research Summary Multinational firms conduct cross‐border trade and investment in a world of anarchy, where nation‐states must secure their survival in the absence of a world government. We develop a geopolitical‐economic order (GEO) framework to argue that the extent of geopolitical competition incentivizes states to create one of two types ...
Daniel J. Blake, Srividya Jandhyala, Quan Li   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Effect of Austerity Measures on Infant Mortality: Evidence From Greece

Health Economics, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Governments frequently adopt austerity policies when facing economic crises, yet their long‐term consequences for population health remain incompletely understood. This paper examines the impact of large‐scale fiscal austerity on infant mortality by exploiting the Troika‐led economic adjustment program implemented in Greece beginning in 2010 ...
Robert J. Kolesar, Rok Spruk
wiley   +1 more source

Martian ion currents and escape driven by interplanetary magnetic field orientation based on hybrid simulations

Earth and Planetary Physics
As a planet lacking a global magnetic field, Mars interacts directly with the solar wind, forming an induced magnetosphere that mediates energy transfer and atmospheric ion loss.
HengLe Du, BinBin Ni, Xiao-Dong Wang, Shahab Fatemi, Xing Cao   +4 more
doaj   +1 more source

Stress Testing Ghana’s Debt Sustainability Analysis 2010-2021 [PDF]

Athens Journal of Business & Economics
Ghana exited her 16th IMF Debt Bailout Programme in April 2019. Unfortunately, in May 2023, she signed on to her 17th IMF Debt Bailout Programme because the country’s debt had once again become unsustainable.
Anthony Q. Q. Aboagye
doaj   +1 more source

Green swans and blue skies: Climate change and insolvency risk for financial institutions

International Insolvency Review, EarlyView.
Abstract This lecture in honour of the late Gabriel Moss QC and Ian Fletcher QC examines the challenge of climate‐related financial risk. Prudential regulators and central banks recognize that the systemic nature of climate‐related financial risk makes it an emerging vulnerability relevant to cross‐border insolvency resolution.
Janis Sarra
wiley   +1 more source

Statistics of the Interplanetary Magnetic Field from 0.1 to 30 au. II. Dynamical Variability

The Astrophysical Journal
The interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) governs the coupling between the solar wind and planetary magnetospheres through a series of complex interactions.
Jiutong Zhao, Shan Wang, Weijie Sun, Xingyu Zhu, Chuanpeng Hou, Qiugang Zong, Jiansen He, Xuzhi Zhou, Chao Yue, Liu Yang, Daniel Heyner   +10 more
doaj   +1 more source