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Computation with imprecise probabilities [PDF]

open access: yes2008 IEEE International Conference on Information Reuse and Integration, 2008
Computation with imprecise probabilities is not an academic exercise—it is a bridge to reality. In the real world, imprecision of probabilities is the norm rather than exception. In large measure, real-world probabilities are perceptions of likelihood. Perceptions are intrinsically imprecise.
Lotfi A. Zadeh
openaire   +3 more sources

Probabilistic satisfiability with imprecise probabilities [PDF]

open access: yesInternational Journal of Approximate Reasoning, 2000
zbMATH Open Web Interface contents unavailable due to conflicting licenses.
Pierre Hansen   +4 more
openaire   +5 more sources

Transitive Reasoning with Imprecise Probabilities [PDF]

open access: yes, 2015
We study probabilistically informative (weak) versions of transitivity, by using suitable definitions of defaults and negated defaults, in the setting of coherence and imprecise probabilities. We represent p-consistent sequences of defaults and/or negated defaults by g-coherent imprecise probability assessments on the respective sequences of ...
Angelo Gilio   +2 more
openaire   +6 more sources

Stable Non-standard Imprecise Probabilities [PDF]

open access: yes, 2014
Stability arises as the consistency criterion in a betting interpretation for hyperreal imprecise previsions, that is imprecise previsions (and probabilities) which may take infinitesimal values. The purpose of this work is to extend the notion of stable coherence introduced in [8] to conditional hyperreal imprecise probabilities.
F. Montagna, H. Hosni
openaire   +3 more sources

Combining Binary Classifiers with Imprecise Probabilities [PDF]

open access: yes, 2011
This paper proposes a simple framework to combine binary classifiers whose outputs are imprecise probabilities (or are transformed into some imprecise probabilities, e.g., by using confidence intervals). This combination comes down to solve linear programs describing constraints over events (here, subsets of classes).
Destercke, Sébastien, Quost, Benjamin
core   +5 more sources

Why Credences Cannot be Imprecise [PDF]

open access: yesInterdisciplinary Description of Complex Systems, 2014
Beliefs formed under uncertainty come in different grades, which are called credences or degrees of belief. The most common way of measuring the strength of credences is by ascribing probabilities to them.
Borut Trpin
doaj   +1 more source

A risk-based decision framework for policy analysis of societal pandemic effects

open access: yesFrontiers in Public Health, 2023
IntroductionIn this article, we summarize our findings from an EU-supported project for policy analyses applied to pandemics such as Covid-19 (with the potential to be applied as well to other, similar hazards) while considering various mitigation levels
Mats Danielson   +5 more
doaj   +1 more source

Upgrading the Fusion of Imprecise Classifiers

open access: yesEntropy, 2023
Imprecise classification is a relatively new task within Machine Learning. The difference with standard classification is that not only is one state of the variable under study determined, a set of states that do not have enough information against them ...
Serafín Moral-García   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

Imprecise Credences and Acceptance

open access: yesErgo, An Open Access Journal of Philosophy, 2022
Elga (2010) argues that no plausible decision rule governs action with imprecise credences. I follow Moss (2015a) in claiming that the solution to Elga’s challenge is found in the philosophy of mind, not in devising a special new decision rule.
Benjamin Lennertz
doaj   +2 more sources

Forecasting with imprecise probabilities

open access: yesInternational Journal of Approximate Reasoning, 2012
We review de Finetti’s two coherence criteria for determinate probabilities: coherence1defined in terms of previsions for a set of events that are undominated by the status quo – previsions immune to a sure-loss – and coherence2 defined in terms of forecasts for events undominated in Brier score by a rival forecast.
Teddy Seidenfeld   +2 more
openaire   +1 more source

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