Results 41 to 50 of about 342,242 (166)
A study of a deterministic model for meningitis epidemic [PDF]
A compartmental deterministic model that allows (1) immunity from two stages of infection and carriage, and (2) disease induced death, is used in studying the dynamics of meningitis epidemic process in a closed population. It allows for difference in the transmission rate of infection to a susceptible by a carrier and an infective. It is generalized to
arxiv
Re-infection by untreated partners of people treated for Chlamydia trachomatis and Neisseria gonorrhoeae: mathematical modelling study [PDF]
Objectives: Re-infection after treatment for Chlamydia trachomatis or Neisseria gonorrhoeae reduces the effect of control interventions. We explored the impact of delays in partner treatment on the expected probability of re-infection of index cases using a mathematical model.
arxiv +1 more source
Background In 2016, a study in a Dutch nursing home showed prolonged colonization duration of extended-spectrum β-lactamase-producing (ESBL)-ST131 compared to ESBL-non-ST131. In this study, we assessed the duration of rectal ESBL-producing E.
Veronica Weterings+6 more
doaj +1 more source
Modeling the transmission of Wolbachia in mosquitoes for controlling mosquito-borne diseases [PDF]
We develop and analyze an ordinary differential equation model to assess the potential effectiveness of infecting mosquitoes with the Wolbachia bacteria to control the ongoing mosquito-borne epidemics, such as dengue fever, chikungunya, and Zika. Wolbachia is a natural parasitic microbe that stops the proliferation of the harmful viruses inside the ...
arxiv +1 more source
Forecasting the transmission of Covid-19 in India using a data driven SEIRD model [PDF]
The infections and fatalities due to SARS-CoV-2 virus for cases specific to India have been studied using a deterministic susceptible-exposed-infected-recovered-dead (SEIRD) compartmental model. One of the most significant epidemiological parameter, namely the effective reproduction number of the infection is extracted from the daily growth rate data ...
arxiv
Background The incidence of Escherichia coli bloodstream infections (BSI) is high and increasing. We aimed to describe the effect of season and temperature on the incidence of E. coli BSI and antibiotic-resistant E.
Sarah F. Feldman+8 more
doaj +1 more source
Background In a previous retrospective observational study, a 3-day regimen of oseltamivir as post-exposure prophylaxis (PEP) for preventing transmission of influenza in wards was shown to be comparable to 7- to 10-day regimens provided index cases were ...
Nobuhisa Ishiguro+16 more
doaj +1 more source
Predicting the size and probability of epidemics in a population with heterogeneous infectiousness and susceptibility [PDF]
We analytically address disease outbreaks in large, random networks with heterogeneous infectivity and susceptibility. The transmissibility $T_{uv}$ (the probability that infection of $u$ causes infection of $v$) depends on the infectivity of $u$ and the susceptibility of $v$.
arxiv +1 more source
The struggle for space: Viral extinction through competition for cells [PDF]
The design of protocols to suppress the propagation of viral infections is an enduring enterprise, especially hindered by limited knowledge of the mechanisms through which extinction of infection propagation comes about. We here report on a mechanism causing extinction of a propagating infection due to intraspecific competition to infect susceptible ...
arxiv +1 more source
Incidence of Scarlet Fever in Children in Jeju Province, Korea, 2002-2016: An Age-period-cohort Analysis [PDF]
Objectives: Outbreaks of scarlet fever in Mexico in 1999, Hong Kong and mainland China in 2011, and England in 2014-2016 have received global attention, and the number of notified cases in Korean children, including in Jeju Province, has also increased ...
Jinhee Kim, Ji-Eun Kim, Jong-Myon Bae
doaj +1 more source