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Mathematical models of infectious disease transmission [PDF]
Mathematical analysis and modelling is central to infectious disease epidemiology. Here, we provide an intuitive introduction to the process of disease transmission, how this stochastic process can be represented mathematically and how this mathematical representation can be used to analyse the emergent dynamics of observed epidemics.
Nicholas C Grassly +2 more
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Exploring the Effect of Misinformation on Infectious Disease Transmission
Vaccines are one of the safest medical interventions in history and can protect against infectious diseases and ensure important health benefits. Despite these advantages, health professionals and policymakers face significant challenges in terms of vaccine rollout, as vaccine hesitancy is a global challenge, and varies greatly with context, i.e ...
Nabeela Mumtaz +2 more
exaly +3 more sources
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Aerosol Transmission of Infectious Disease
Journal of Occupational & Environmental Medicine, 2015The concept of aerosol transmission is developed to resolve limitations in conventional definitions of airborne and droplet transmission.The method was literature review.An infectious aerosol is a collection of pathogen-laden particles in air. Aerosol particles may deposit onto or be inhaled by a susceptible person. Aerosol transmission is biologically
Rachael M, Jones, Lisa M, Brosseau
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Prevention of Infectious Disease Transmission in Sports
Sports Medicine, 1997A variety of infectious diseases can be transmitted during competitive sports. Modes of transmission in athletic settings include person-to-person contact, common-source exposures and airborne/droplet spread. This paper reviews the most commonly reported infectious diseases among athletes and discusses the potential for transmission of bloodborne ...
E E, Mast, R A, Goodman
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Transmission of Infectious Diseases in Children
Pediatrics In Review, 1992A rational approach to the control of pediatric infectious diseases requires an appreciation of their epidemiology and mechanisms of transmission. The setting in which the exposure occurs may have a major influence on the risk of infection. Unfortunately, the epidemiology of many important pediatric pathogens is complex and incompletely understood ...
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Modelling the effect of urbanization on the transmission of an infectious disease
Mathematical Biosciences, 2008This paper models the impact of urbanization on infectious disease transmission by integrating a CA land use development model, population projection matrix model and CA epidemic model in S-Plus. The innovative feature of this model lies in both its explicit treatment of spatial land use development, demographic changes, infectious disease transmission
Peter M Atkinson
exaly +4 more sources
The Role of Infectious Aerosols in Disease Transmission in Pigs
Veterinary Journal, 1999Airborne transmission is of significance for a number of infectious diseases in pigs. The general principles of the airborne pathway, including aerosol production, decay and inhalation, are reviewed. Practical issues regarding aerosol sampling and sample analysis are also discussed.
Katharina D C Stark
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Estimating the Transmission Rate for a Highly Infectious Disease
Biometrics, 1998It is pointed out that estimates of disease transmission parameters based on the final size of an epidemic are unsatisfactory when all susceptibles are infected and that this is an event with a substantial probability for communities of practical interest.
Becker, Niels G., Hasofer, A. M.
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On the role of reinfection in the transmission of infectious diseases
Journal of Theoretical Biology, 2003We introduce a spatial stochastic model for the spread of tuberculosis. After a primary infection, an individual may become sick (and infectious) through an endogenous reinfection or through an exogenous reinfection. We show that even in the absence of endogenous reinfection an epidemic is possible if the exogenous reinfection parameter is high enough.
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Infectious disease transmission and infection-dependent matching
Mathematical Biosciences, 1998This paper uses commonly available prevalence estimates to bound future incidence. The bounds rely on restricting the fraction of contacts between individuals of different infection statuses. It is argued that these bounds can be further tightened by restrictions of economic models of infectious disease that imply that uninfected individuals have ...
Philipson, Tomas, Dow, William H.
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