Results 181 to 190 of about 22,442 (216)

Inflation Expectations Revisited

Economica, 1988
This paper describes the construction and main features of a new monthly time series for the mean and standard deviation of consumer inflation expectations in the United Kingdom in the years 1961-85, based on a number of consumer surveys. This involves generalizing to four- and five-category tendency survey data the method used by J. A.
Batchelor, Roy A, Orr, Adrian B
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Global Inflation Dynamics and Inflation Expectations

SSRN Electronic Journal, 2018
Abstract In this paper we investigate dynamics of inflation and short-run inflation expectations. We estimate a global vector autoregressive (GVAR) model using Bayesian techniques. We then explore the effects of three source of inflationary pressure that could drive up inflation expectations: domestic aggregate demand and supply shocks as well as a ...
Martin Feldkircher, Pierre L. Siklos
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Inflation Expectations and Inflation Persistence

Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2023
AbstractThis paper examines the relationship between inflation expectations and inflation persistence. Using a Markov‐switching model of U.S. inflation, we first show that higher inflation persistence is associated with a higher mean level of inflation and greater inflation uncertainty.
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Inflation Expectations and Climate Concern

SSRN Electronic Journal, 2022
Using survey data from German households, we find that individuals with lower climate concern tend to have higher inflation expectations up to five years ahead. This correlation is most pronounced among individuals with extremely high inflation expectations.
Meinerding, Christoph, Poinelli, Andrea, Schüler, Yves   +2 more
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Inflation Perceptions and Inflation Expectations

FEDS Notes, 2016
In this note, we discuss new data on consumers' perceptions of recent inflation from the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers (MSC). Our preliminary results show that survey responses indicate inflation perceptions differ widely across individuals (with a slightly wider distribution than for inflation expectations) but the bulk of responses are ...
David Lebow, Alan Detmeister, Ekaterina Peneva   +2 more
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The Role of Dispersed Information in Inflation and Inflation Expectations

SSRN Electronic Journal, 2020
We solve a rational expectations model of price formation with nominal rigidity and information frictions analytically to study how dispersed information impacts inflation and inflation expectations, without imposing strong structural assumptions on the aggregate marginal cost. The closed-form solution implies an ARMA(1,1) nowcast error and an ARMA(1,2)
Zhao Han, Xiaohan Ma, Ruoyun Mao
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Contracts and Firms’ Inflation Expectations

SSRN Electronic Journal, 2021
Abstract We use novel survey data to study firms’ inventory contracts. We document facts about the usage of purchase and sale contracts. We find that firms purchase and sell inventory through three contractual arrangements: fixed price and quantity, fixed price only, and fixed quantity only.
Saten Kumar, Dennis Wesselbaum
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Inflation expectations in Hungary [PDF]

, 2014
The aim of this study is to provide an overview of the main characteristics of expectations of professional forecasters, households and firms in respect of Hungarian inflation trends. In countries where an inflation targeting regime is in place, inflation expectations are of key importance from the perspective of monetary policy and play a significant ...
Péter Gábriel, Judit Rariga, Judit Várhegyi   +2 more
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Inflation Expectation Uncertainty, Inflation and the Output Gap

2017
Uncertainty about the future path of inflation affects consumption, saving and investment decisions as well as wage negotiations and price setting of firms. These decisions are based on inflation expectations which are a key determinant of inflation in the New Keynesian Phillips Curve.
Fuest, Angela, Schmidt, Torsten
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Inflation compensation and inflation expectations in Chile [PDF]

Monetaria, 2007
This paper studies the relationship between inflation compensation and inflation expectations in Chile. First, we use the present discounted value methodology to decompose the difference between the unanticipated return of nominal and inflation-linked bonds into news about expected inflation and premiums.
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